Earnings Metric for Stocks

 

How to work out the current Earning yields ?

Current Earnings yield = Diluted EPS / share price (range) 

If we take the below example ..

Diluted EPS is 0.0456. Share price is 72-82 cents ) ,we shall use 82 cents as the highest price for calculating the current Earnings yield .

Wilmar FY2022 results:

Diluted EPS of 0.38. Let's assume FY2023 EPS is 0.30 and the future share price is 4.50. 0.30/4.50 = 6.66% which is much higher than risk free yield of 4.5%. 

Current Earnings yield = 0.0456 / 0.82 = 0.055 x 100% = 5.5% . 

This is in the way higher than CPF SA if we choose to park our money there .So 5.5% is generally much higher than 4.5% .

I have glanced  through the FY 2017 result for Wilmar, diluted EPS is 0.193 .
Let's say we are taking the future share price of $3.50, that will give us a Earnings yield of 0.193/$3.50 = 5.5%.pls Dyodd.

Yes, suitable to be applied on any stocks using the current earnings yield. And once you worked that out for a few stocks you are comparing which to invest, you can decide based on all their current earnings yield whether which stock is higher in current earnings yield and also whether the fundamentals will support the growth of EPS at high compounded rate of growth or not resulting in the increase in earnings yield.

For example, for illustration purposes. let's say the current earnings yield of ABC company is 5% based on the price you paid to buy it's shares. It is able to double it's EPS in 5 years time. Then you will be having a future earnings yield of 10% on your initial investment in ABC company. A 10% earnings yield is quite good already. And if the company can continue to double it's EPS again for another 5 more years, then the future earnings yield after 10 years will be 20% on your initial investment.

And even if the company cannot grow meaningfully anymore after 10 years and just grow their EPS at a terminal growth rate of 3% thereafter in line with inflation cost, the company may now become a mature stalwart giving out a high dividend payout. At a high dividend payout ratio of 75% while only remaining 25% of earnings to be retained for some maintenance capex, the dividend yield in future for this illustrated example will be 15%. And maybe the share price would have also grown in line with the EPS growth and perhaps also quadrupled. Thus, one will be getting a multi bagger stock plus a decent high dividend yield of 15% after 10 years.

This is the best goldilocks region to be in to initially discover and invest in stocks with visible high growth prospects for the foreseeable future and buy them at high earnings yield (better done during bear markets when such goldilocks region presents both combination of cheap valuation and high growth rate of business and thus high return rate for the investor who capitalise on getting in during goldilocks timing).

What if the EPS decline instead of growing?

What action will you do?

 : That's why we want the growth prospects to be visible, the more visible the better. If any drop in eps, we have to gauge whether it is temporary or permanent. That is why we need to also constantly monitor the fundamentals of the business. If permanent deterioration in business fundamentals, we may consider to exit the investment.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.

Trade/Invest base on your own decision .