Earnings Metric for Stocks

 

How to work out the current Earning yields ?

Current Earnings yield = Diluted EPS / share price (range) 

If we take the below example ..

Diluted EPS is 0.0456. Share price is 72-82 cents ) ,we shall use 82 cents as the highest price for calculating the current Earnings yield .

Wilmar FY2022 results:

Diluted EPS of 0.38. Let's assume FY2023 EPS is 0.30 and the future share price is 4.50. 0.30/4.50 = 6.66% which is much higher than risk free yield of 4.5%. 

Current Earnings yield = 0.0456 / 0.82 = 0.055 x 100% = 5.5% . 

This is in the way higher than CPF SA if we choose to park our money there .So 5.5% is generally much higher than 4.5% .

I have glanced  through the FY 2017 result for Wilmar, diluted EPS is 0.193 .
Let's say we are taking the future share price of $3.50, that will give us a Earnings yield of 0.193/$3.50 = 5.5%.pls Dyodd.

Yes, suitable to be applied on any stocks using the current earnings yield. And once you worked that out for a few stocks you are comparing which to invest, you can decide based on all their current earnings yield whether which stock is higher in current earnings yield and also whether the fundamentals will support the growth of EPS at high compounded rate of growth or not resulting in the increase in earnings yield.

For example, for illustration purposes. let's say the current earnings yield of ABC company is 5% based on the price you paid to buy it's shares. It is able to double it's EPS in 5 years time. Then you will be having a future earnings yield of 10% on your initial investment in ABC company. A 10% earnings yield is quite good already. And if the company can continue to double it's EPS again for another 5 more years, then the future earnings yield after 10 years will be 20% on your initial investment.

And even if the company cannot grow meaningfully anymore after 10 years and just grow their EPS at a terminal growth rate of 3% thereafter in line with inflation cost, the company may now become a mature stalwart giving out a high dividend payout. At a high dividend payout ratio of 75% while only remaining 25% of earnings to be retained for some maintenance capex, the dividend yield in future for this illustrated example will be 15%. And maybe the share price would have also grown in line with the EPS growth and perhaps also quadrupled. Thus, one will be getting a multi bagger stock plus a decent high dividend yield of 15% after 10 years.

This is the best goldilocks region to be in to initially discover and invest in stocks with visible high growth prospects for the foreseeable future and buy them at high earnings yield (better done during bear markets when such goldilocks region presents both combination of cheap valuation and high growth rate of business and thus high return rate for the investor who capitalise on getting in during goldilocks timing).

What if the EPS decline instead of growing?

What action will you do?

 : That's why we want the growth prospects to be visible, the more visible the better. If any drop in eps, we have to gauge whether it is temporary or permanent. That is why we need to also constantly monitor the fundamentals of the business. If permanent deterioration in business fundamentals, we may consider to exit the investment.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.

Trade/Invest base on your own decision .

Daiwa Hse Log Tr

 Some snacks from Japan:

Hokkaido Cheese biscuits.

Milk chocolate biscuits.

Various types of snacks. 

Strawberry cake.

Butter cookies.

Rice cookies.

Custard cookies.

 Lai ah, jiak! Nom Nom!

Steam boat.

Chart wise, closed well at 0.62, looks rather bullish!

Likely to rise up to test 0.65.

Pls dyodd.

She is hovering near the 0.61 price level looks rather positive and may likely cross over smoothly! 

Next, we can see her rising up to test 0.645-0.655.

Pls add dyodd.

 

 Wah, breakout of 0.60 , awesome!

Short term wise, I think she is rising up to test 0.65 then 0.70-0.71.

Huat ah! Please dyodd.

 Chart wise,  bullish mode!

A nice breaking out of 0.595 plus high volume she may likely rise up to test 0.65. 

Yearly dividend of 5.22 cents.  Yield is 8.8%. Low gearing,  wale is 6.9 years. I think it is trading at a great value price level of 0.59.

Not a call to buy or sell!

Pls dyodd.

 Daiwa House Logistics Trust (DHLT) is a Singapore real estate investment trust (REIT) listed on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (SGX-ST). The REIT is established with the investment strategy of principally investing, directly or indirectly, in a portfolio of income-producing logistics and industrial real estate assets located across Asia. DHLT’s investment focus will be to invest in logistics and industrial real estate assets in Asia, in particular, within Japan as well as in the ASEAN region.

DHLT’s key objectives are to provide Unitholders with regular and stable distributions, and to achieve long-term growth in DPU and net asset value per Unit, while maintaining an optimal capital structure and strengthening the portfolio in scale and quality.

DHLT is managed by Daiwa House Asset Management Asia Pte. Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Sponsor, Daiwa House Industry Co., Ltd., a leading real estate player in Japan.

Occupancy % rate of 98.6. Gearing 36.2%. Wale 6.9 years. First quarter Distributable Income increased 2.5% to 9.1m. 

Yearly dividend of 5.22 cents( half yearly basis ) . Yield is 9% base on current price of 0.58.

NAV of 0.77 . 

It looks like a gem for this Logistics reit focusing in Japan of which was being sold down due to high interest rate situation. 

I think gd value is presenting at the current price level!

Pls dyodd.

SSB

 Results is out for July SSB. All fully alloted!

Is under subscription for the total issurance of 600m.

 Singapore Saving Bond - one of the best option to park your cash to earn a higher interest that spread across 10 years.

This month bond offering start from 1st June 6pm onwards to 26 June 2023 9pm.

10 years average interest rate is 2.82%. Is quite good! 

SBJUL23 GX23070H in your CDP statement
Interest payment will be reflected as CDP-SBJUL23 in your bank statement
GX23070H in your SRS statement.

A safe and flexible way to save for the long term

The monthly issuance size of the Singapore Savings Bond (SSB) programme is S$600 million for this month. For more details, refer to the media release.

 Interest rate is Based on the table rate reflected on the website.
At the end of each year, on a compounded basis.

http://www.sgs.gov.sg/savingsbonds/Your-SSB/This-months-bond.aspx

Application may apply through: DBS/POSB, OCBC and UOB ATMs and Internet Banking and SRS. CPF funds are not eligible.

Invest amount : You can invest a minimum of $500, and in multiples of $500. The total amount of Savings Bonds held across all issues cannot be more than $200,000.

Interest Payment dates : Upcoming payment: 01 Jan 2024
Subsequent payments (until maturity): Every 6 months on 01 Jul and 01 Jan

Each Savings Bond has a term of 10 years and pays interest every 6 months. Savings Bonds cannot be traded like conventional bonds or shares. Interest income is exempt from tax. Only individuals above 18 years old can apply.

 Savings Bonds are fully backed by the Singapore Government. And because the bonds can always be redeemed for the full amount invested, investors are protected against capital losses when interest rates change. This makes them one of the safest possible investments for individuals to hold.

Save up to 10 years, and earn interest that “steps up” or increases over time. Hold your Savings Bond for the full 10 years and receive an average interest per year that matches the return from 10-year Singapore Government Securities yields, which has generally been between 2%-3%.

Flexible : 
 Or, choose to exit your investment in any given month, with no penalties. There is no need to decide on a specific investment period at the start.

Just received my interest this month, awesome! 

Wilmar Intl

 Wah, looks like she is falling down to test 3.75 level soon! 

If 3.75 cannot hold, next , she might be going down to fill the Gap at 3.59.

Please dyodd.

 Wilmar International Limited, founded in 1991 and headquartered in Singapore, is today Asia’s leading agribusiness group. Wilmar is ranked amongst the largest listed companies by market capitalisation on the Singapore Exchange.

At the core of Wilmar’s strategy is an integrated agribusiness model that encompasses the entire value chain of the agricultural commodity business, from cultivation and milling of palm oil and sugarcane, to processing, branding and distribution of a wide range of edible food products in consumer, medium and bulk packaging, animal feeds and industrial agri-products such as oleochemicals and biodiesel. It has over 500 manufacturing plants and an extensive distribution network covering China, India, Indonesia and some 50 other countries and regions. Through scale, integration and the logistical advantages of its business model, Wilmar is able to extract margins at every step of the value chain, thereby reaping operational synergies and cost efficiencies. 

Supported by a multinational workforce of about 100,000 people, Wilmar embraces sustainability in its global operations, supply chain and communities. 

An Expanding Global Footprint:

From its humble beginnings, Wilmar has today become a global leader in processing and merchandising of edible oils, oilseed crushing, sugar merchandising, milling and refining, production of oleochemicals, specialty fats, palm biodiesel, flour milling, rice milling and consumer pack oils:

• Largest edible oils refiner, specialty fats and oleochemicals manufacturer as well as leading oilseed crusher, producer of consumer pack oils, flour and rice and one of the largest flour and rice millers in China
• One of the largest oil palm plantation owners and the largest palm oil refiner and palm kernel and copra crusher, specialty fats, oleochemicals and biodiesel manufacturer in Indonesia and Malaysia
• Largest producer of branded consumer pack oils in Indonesia
• Largest branded consumer pack oils, specialty fats and oleochemicals producer and edible oils refiner as well as leading oilseed crusher, sugar miller, refiner and ethanol producer in India
• One of the largest investors in oil palm plantations, one of the largest edible oils refiners and producers of consumer pack oils, soaps and detergents as well as third largest sugar producer in Africa
• Largest raw sugar producer and refiner, a leading merchandiser of consumer brands in sugar and sweetener market and largest manufacturer of bread, spreads and sauces in Australia
• Leading refiner of tropical oils in Europe.

First quarter 2023 Financial No. update :

The Group reported net profit of US$391.4 million and core net profit of US$381.9 million for the quarter, with stronger sales volume recorded in both Food Products and Feed & Industrial Products segments. Excluding the gain on dilution of interest in Adani Wilmar Limited of US$175.6 million recognised in 1Q2022, the Group reported a growth in net profit of 10.3%, while core net profit grew by 16.5% during the quarter. 

Despite the challenging operating conditions, the Group managed to deliver a satisfactory set of results for 1Q2023. Higher volume of sales was achieved across all businesses. Sugar milling and merchandising did well with higher sugar prices. Oilseed crushing did better due to higher volume and good coverage of raw materials. Food Products segment saw an overall increase in volume of sales, largely due to higher medium pack and bulk products sales, particularly in China. Plantation profit was reasonable even though palm oil prices came down significantly from the peak. Shipping performed well but palm oil refining margin was poor. 

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet The stable performance for the quarter led the Group to generate higher operating cash flows before working capital changes of US$756.1 million. With the decline in commodity prices and seasonal reduction in overall inventory balance during the quarter, working capital requirements for the Group decreased accordingly, leading to lower net debt of US$17.27 billion as of 31 March 2023 (31 December 2022: US$18.75 billion). Consequently, net gearing ratio for the Group improved to 0.84x as of March 2023 (FY2022: 0.94x). This led to the Group generating strong cash inflow from operating activities of US$2.17 billion in 1Q2023. At the end of the reporting period, the Group had unutilised banking facilities amounting to US$26.32 billion. 

Outlook Results for the quarter ended 31 March 2023 were satisfactory, despite the uncertain macro-economic outlook at the start of the year. With our diversified and integrated business strategies, we are cautiously optimistic that performance for the rest of the year will remain satisfactory. 

The company paid out Final dividend of 11 cents + interim dividend of 6 cents, total 17 cents for FY 2022. The current share price is $3.97, yield is about 4.28% of which I think is quite a decent yield!

Chart wise, bearish mode!

She may likely continue to trend lower!

Short term wise, I think likely to go down to test 3.90.

Breaking down of 3.90 plus high volume that may likely see her falling down further towards 3.75 then 3.46 level.

Please dyodd.

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust

I have added a bit at 1.91 as it has managed to bounced off from 1.89.

At 1.91, yield is about 5.55% of which I think is quite a gd yield for this giant retail cum grade A office reit.

Not a call to buy or sell!

Pls dyodd. 

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) is the first and largest real estate investment trust (REIT) listed on Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (SGX-ST) with a market capitalisation of S$13.5 billion as at 31 December 2022. It debuted on SGX-ST as CapitaLand Mall Trust in July 2002 and was renamed CICT in November 2020 following the merger with CapitaLand Commercial Trust (CCT).

Looking at the FY 2022 results the NPI is up 9.7% and achieved an increased of DPU from 10.40 to 10.58 cents. It looks like the rental income is improving!

The First Quarter 2023 update is as follow:

The NPI is up 11.3% to 276.3m and occupancy rate % has improved from 95.8 to 96.2.

The gearing is slightly from 40.90 to 40.40%.

The Average WALE is 3.7 years.

The Top 10 tenants are RC Hotels (Pte) Ltd, WeWork Singapore, GIC Private Limited, NTUC Enterprise Co-Operative Ltd & Temasek Holdings etc.

Total Property value is about 24.2 billion of which is the Biggest reit counter listed on the Local Singapore Exchange.

NAV is about 2.116.

Yearly dividend of about 10.58, Yield is about 5.6%(based on current price of 1.89).

I think gd pivot entry point is back!

Please dyodd.

AEM

 AEM is a global provider of semiconductor test solutions. Our comprehensive semiconductor and electronics test solutions cover multiple stages of the testing process over various testing types, for full-stack test capabilities for advanced engineering to high-volume manufacturing.

The solutions we provide are customized and application specific to meet our customer’s application needs. We set ourselves to redefine test through our Test Cell Solutions Business and Instrumentation Business.

AEM has a global presence across Asia, Europe, and the United States. With manufacturing plants located in Singapore, Malaysia (Penang), Indonesia (Batam), Vietnam (Ho Chi Minh City), China (Suzhou), and Finland (Lieto), and a global network of engineering support, sales offices, associates, and distributors, we offer our customers a robust and resilient ecosystem of test innovation and support.

 

AEM Holdings Ltd. is listed on the main board of the Singapore Exchange (Reuters: AEM. SI; Bloomberg: AEM: SP). AEM’s head office is in Singapore.

FY  2022 Financial Numbers:

NAV 1.57.

Yearly dividend of 10.3 cents.

Yield is about 2.89% based on current price of 3.74.

Chart wise, A higher high and higher low price patterns,  looks rather interesting!

It may rise up to test 3.84.Next, 3.95 then 4.02.

Pls dyodd.