Thursday, August 31, 2023

Wilmar Intl - Yesterday a very unusual long and bullish candlestick appearing on the chart, looks like something is brewing!

 Wah, free dividend for the shareholders as she was trading at 3.60-3.62 before XD. A nice spike up movement plus high volume looks rather positive!





I think likely to rise up further to test 3.80 than 3.87 with extension to 3.93-4.00.

Please dyodd.

 Today- 21st August XD 6 cents dividend, likely see the price corrected with 6 cents dividend.  Next support level Is about 3.47 level. 

I think good price is back!

Pay date 30th August.





Not a call to buy or sell!

Please dyodd.

 Wah, I think gd pivot entry point is here!

At 3.68, yield is about 4.61% seem quite a decent yield level!

NAV 4.305.


Chart wise,  looks like 3.59 may be tested again!

Please dyodd.

 Wilmar International Limited, founded in 1991 and headquartered in Singapore, is today Asia’s leading agribusiness group. Wilmar is ranked amongst the largest listed companies by market capitalisation on the Singapore Exchange.




At the core of Wilmar’s strategy is an integrated agribusiness model that encompasses the entire value chain of the agricultural commodity business, from cultivation and milling of palm oil and sugarcane, to processing, branding and distribution of a wide range of edible food products in consumer, medium and bulk packaginganimal feeds and industrial agri-products such as oleochemicals and biodiesel. It has over 500 manufacturing plants and an extensive distribution network covering China, India, Indonesia and some 50 other countries and regions. Through scale, integration and the logistical advantages of its business model, Wilmar is able to extract margins at every step of the value chain, thereby reaping operational synergies and cost efficiencies. 

Supported by a multinational workforce of about 100,000 people, Wilmar embraces sustainability in its global operations, supply chain and communities. 


An Expanding Global Footprint:

From its humble beginnings, Wilmar has today become a global leader in processing and merchandising of edible oils, oilseed crushing, sugar merchandising, milling and refining, production of oleochemicals, specialty fats, palm biodiesel, flour milling, rice milling and consumer pack oils:

  • Largest edible oils refiner, specialty fats and oleochemicals manufacturer as well as leading oilseed crusher, producer of consumer pack oils, flour and rice and one of the largest flour and rice millers in China
  • One of the largest oil palm plantation owners and the largest palm oil refiner and palm kernel and copra crusher, specialty fats, oleochemicals and biodiesel manufacturer in Indonesia and Malaysia
  • Largest producer of branded consumer pack oils in Indonesia
  • Largest branded consumer pack oils, specialty fats and oleochemicals producer and edible oils refiner as well as leading oilseed crusher, sugar miller, refiner and ethanol producer in India
  • One of the largest investors in oil palm plantations, one of the largest edible oils refiners and producers of consumer pack oils, soaps and detergents as well as third largest sugar producer in Africa
  • Largest raw sugar producer and refiner, a leading merchandiser of consumer brands in sugar and sweetener market and largest manufacturer of bread, spreads and sauces in Australia
  • Leading refiner of tropical oils in Europe.
First quarter 2023 Financial No. update :

The Group reported net profit of US$391.4 million and core net profit of US$381.9 million for the quarter, with stronger sales volume recorded in both Food Products and Feed & Industrial Products segments. Excluding the gain on dilution of interest in Adani Wilmar Limited of US$175.6 million recognised in 1Q2022, the Group reported a growth in net profit of 10.3%, while core net profit grew by 16.5% during the quarter. 




Despite the challenging operating conditions, the Group managed to deliver a satisfactory set of results for 1Q2023. Higher volume of sales was achieved across all businesses. Sugar milling and merchandising did well with higher sugar prices. Oilseed crushing did better due to higher volume and good coverage of raw materials. Food Products segment saw an overall increase in volume of sales, largely due to higher medium pack and bulk products sales, particularly in China. Plantation profit was reasonable even though palm oil prices came down significantly from the peak. Shipping performed well but palm oil refining margin was poor. 

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet The stable performance for the quarter led the Group to generate higher operating cash flows before working capital changes of US$756.1 million. With the decline in commodity prices and seasonal reduction in overall inventory balance during the quarter, working capital requirements for the Group decreased accordingly, leading to lower net debt of US$17.27 billion as of 31 March 2023 (31 December 2022: US$18.75 billion). Consequently, net gearing ratio for the Group improved to 0.84x as of March 2023 (FY2022: 0.94x). This led to the Group generating strong cash inflow from operating activities of US$2.17 billion in 1Q2023. At the end of the reporting period, the Group had unutilised banking facilities amounting to US$26.32 billion. 

Outlook Results for the quarter ended 31 March 2023 were satisfactory, despite the uncertain macro-economic outlook at the start of the year. With our diversified and integrated business strategies, we are cautiously optimistic that performance for the rest of the year will remain satisfactory. 

The company paid out Final dividend of 11 cents + interim dividend of 6 cents, total 17 cents for FY 2022. The current share price is $3.97, yield is about 4.28% of which I think is quite a decent yield!

Chart wise, bearish mode!
She may likely continue to trend lower!





Short term wise, I think likely to go down to test 3.90.
Breaking down of 3.90 plus high volume that may likely see her falling down further towards 3.75 then 3.46 level.

Please dyodd.

Wednesday, August 30, 2023

Ocbc Bank - I think market is giving chance to secure the profit!The recent counter trend price patterns seem like loosing strength!

 Chart wise,  bearish mode!

I think likely to go down to revist the recent low of 12.17 tgan than 12.00 and 11.80.
A bearish engulfing candlesticks appearing on the chart, looks like we may see further selling down pressure!
Please dyodd.





 She is going Ex.dividend on 14th August,  I think market is giving chance to secure the profit!

She is trading near the peak resistance and it may experience the same selling down price patterns as reflected on the chart! 



As interest rate is more or less peak and bank Net Interest Margin likely fall plus bad debts allowance might increase therefore,  total Revenue and Net income may be lowered! 

US bank already seen Analyst lowering their TP. I think is good ro be cautious!

Not a call to buy or sell!

Please dyodd.

So fast, asking for loan liao! 

4.5% seem not bad! 



Not a call to buy or sell.

Please dyodd. 


Wah, another Gap down upon results released looks like market already priced in the good sets of financial numbers and it doesn't boils well for this kind of price action!



Looks like the uptrend direction is halted and we may see further selling down pressure!

Please dyodd.

 All the 3 local banks attained good profit and all boosting their dividend payout. But going forward, profit may be lowered due to interest rate pause or bad debts  allowance.



Total Income of 6.8b.

RoE of 14.3%.



EPS 1.60 per share.

Interim dividend increase 43% from 0.28 to 0.40.

XD 14 August,  pay date 25 August. 

Yield of 6%. Is much higher than index reit.




TA wise, looks like the same price patterns may repeat itself! 



After hitting the resistance level it may likely see further weakness. 

I think is never wrong to lock in profit!

Don't let the profit slip away!

Please dyodd. 



TA wise,  bearish mode!

If she can't hold at 12.00 price level, 



the next support level Is 11.93 than 11.80.

Please dyodd.

 Chart wise,  bearish mode!

Likely to see further weakness!



Immediate support is at about 12.20.

Yearly dividend is about 0.65-0.68.

Yield is about 5.29% or 5.5% at 12.28 seems quite a gd yield!

Pls dyodd.

 OCBC Bank is the longest established Singapore bank, formed in 1932 from the merger of three local banks, the oldest of which was founded in 1912. It is now the second largest financial services group in Southeast Asia by assets and one of the world’s most highly-rated banks, with Aa1 by Moody’s and AA- by both Fitch and S&P. Recognised for its financial strength and stability, OCBC Bank is consistently ranked among the World’s Top 50 Safest Banks by Global Finance and has been named Best Managed Bank in Singapore by The Asian Banker.

OCBC Bank and its subsidiaries offer a broad array of commercial banking, specialist financial and wealth management services, ranging from consumer, corporate, investment, private and transaction banking to treasury, insurance, asset management and stockbroking services.

OCBC Bank’s key markets are Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia and Greater China. It has more than 420 branches and representative offices in 19 countries and regions. These include over 190 branches and offices in Indonesia under subsidiary Bank OCBC NISP, and over 60 branches and offices in Mainland China, Hong Kong SAR and Macau SAR under OCBC Wing Hang.

OCBC Bank’s private banking services are provided by its wholly-owned subsidiary Bank of Singapore, which operates on a unique open-architecture product platform to source for the best-in-class products to meet its clients’ goals.

OCBC Bank's insurance subsidiary, Great Eastern Holdings, is the oldest and most established life insurance group in Singapore and Malaysia. Its asset management subsidiary, Lion Global Investors, is one of the largest private sector asset management companies in Southeast Asia.


Yearly dividend of about 0.65 to 0.68.






Current Price of 12.23, yield is about 5.31% /5.5%.

P/B is slightly above 1.

The dividend yield is above 5% which is considered good!


Chart wise, it is trading in a consolidation mode!

Waiting for the next catalyst to drive the price higher.

Looking at the chart we can see some buying interest with huge volume transacted on certain day which is rather interesting!


Will it repeat the same price patterns!

We will know the answer in next few trading sessions!

Pls dyodd.




Tuesday, August 29, 2023

Frasers L&C Tr - Good sign, slowly rising up! Gearing 28.6% would certainly be able to weather out well high interest rate situation!

  

She is rising up slowly,  good sign! Likely to cross over 1.20 and rises further towards 1.24-1.28. 



Pls dyodd.

 Frasers L&C Tr  - I think good price is back! Yield of 6.2%, gearing 28.6%. 





She is being pushed down to an oversold territory! At 1.18, yearly dividend is about 7.29 cents,  yield is about 6.2% .

I think current weakness in price could be due to AUD ex.rate is weakening against SGD.

Plus higher Operations costs that is eating into the distribution income.  But with higher rental reversion hope can cover some of these operations costs.

NAV 1.276.

She is hovering at the support level of 1.17.

Next support is at 1.13.

Not a call to buy or sell!

Please dyodd.


EC World Reit - Halted! She is having difficulties to pay the business loan , I think high risk of being suspended!

Looks like bo lui liao! Waiting for recovering from client and divestment to meet the payment for loans seems like it has difficulties in paying! It has occurred too many times and I think the great risk of defaulting may happen! Please dyodd.




I think is better not to take it too likely! 
Your money you decide.


Monday, August 28, 2023

CapLand China Trust - Chart wise, bearish mode! She has been sold down to such a low price at 0.915 looks rather oversold!

 

After ex.dividend, the price has further corrected from 1.02 to 0.90 seem rather overly done! 



The recent news from China side may also put some weight on China related counter.

At 0.915, yield is about 8%. 

NAV 1.336. But Gearing is quite high slightly above 40%. 

Not a call to buy or sell!

Please dyodd.



Yearly dividend is about 7.48 cents   Yield is about 7.63%.

Please dyodd. 

Today it has gone down to touch the low of 97 and rises up to hit 1.02 before closing at 1.00 looks like more or less the selling is completed.



The transacted volume is huge,  looks like we may  have seen the bottom.

This afternoon was deciding whether to get some unit at 97.5 cents while it was trading at 97 to 97.5 cents or Ascendas REIT at 2.65. I nibbled a bit of Ascendas REIT at 2.65 instead! 

Results will be out on 27th July before trading commence cum dividend announcement.

Let's wait for the first half results and see how it fares from the current price of 1.00!

Please dyodd.



Wah, she is being pressed down to such a low level seem rather overly done!



She is being driven into a super extended oversold territory, I think likely to see a technical rebound!

Nav 1.336, yearly dividend of about 7.6 cents, yield is 7.6% for this China industrial, DC cum office reit seem rather interesting! 

Not a call to buy or sell!

Please dyodd. 


Sunday, August 27, 2023

QAF - Gardenia Bread business I think she is trading at an interesting price level, yield is about 6%.

NAV0.827.

Yearly dividend of 5 cents.

Yield is above 6% at 0.815.






Net cash position. 

But cash flow is slightly negative. 

Recently,  the director bought back some share.

This might be an indication that the price is  undervalued .

Please dyodd. 



QAF core businesses are into Bakery, Distribution and Warehousing!


Branded Packaged Bread

Our branded packaged breads are Gardenia and Bonjour. We are the region's leading manufacturer and distributor of the premium Gardenia brand of packaged bread, the top selling brand in Singapore, Malaysia and the Philippines.

Each day, Gardenia bread is delivered 'straight from the oven' by our fleet of some 1,900 vans and trucks to about 78,000 supermarkets, convenience stores and general trade channels all over Singapore, Malaysia and the Philippines.


Our In 2022, Gardenia Singapore improved the recipes of two existing milk bread products and launched the Gardenia Hokkaido Butter Rolls in February 2022 and the Gardenia Hokkaido Hi-Calcium Milk Bread in April 2022. The new Gardenia Hokkaido Butter Rolls are made with a Hokkaido butter blend and the creamy and soft bun texture makes the butter rolls enjoyable on their own as well. Targeted at milk bread lovers and families with young children, the new Gardenia Hokkaido Hi-Calcium Milk Bread contains Prebiotics, Calcium, Iron and both Vitamins B1 and B3.

To provide greater convenience and accessibility to Gardenia products, the company became the first bakery in Singapore to introduce the loaf bread vending machine. These vending machines are located in selected high-density residential areas and corporations to serve consumers 24 hours a day, rain or shine.

The company has a multi-brand portfolio, with bakery brands such as Bonjour and Bonjour Delights to cater to different consumer tastes. Since 1998, Bonjour has been carrying its own range of white, wholemeal and speciality breads, as well as croissants and buns. Bonjour seeks to deliver tasty and affordable products with interesting flavours such Bonjour Choc Chip Raisin Loaf and Bonjour Butterscotch Loaf. In 2017, Bonjour was awarded “Top Influential Brand” status in the Bread Category. The Bonjour Delights brand was launched in 2021 to target price-sensitive consumers seeking nostalgic local bakery products.

Garde7nia operates two bakery plants in Singapore, while the Spreads

The Group has developed a line of bread spreads to complement its wide range of breads and bakery products.

In Singapore, Ben Foods has a range of spreads comprising of Cowhead ButterCowhead Dandelion Spread (soft margarine)Cowhead Cream Cheese Spread and Cowhead Dandelion Margarine Block, a shelf stable margarine that is ideal for cooking, frying and baking.

In 1997, Gardenia Malaysia launched Auntie Rosie’s line of kaya spreads. The Original Homestyle Kaya and Natural Pandan Kaya spreads have become very popular with young and old alike.

To cater to the demand for competitively priced tasty and quality bread spreads, Gardenia Malaysia also launched two new and exciting chocolate spreads in 2015. They are the rich-tasting and creamy Delicia Hazelnut Chocolate Spread and Delicia Milky Chocolate Spread. The spreads were initially launched on a small scale and were so well received that they now come in upsized 375g jars and are sold in over 8,000 outlets in Malaysia.

In 2022, Gardenia Malaysia introduced a new variant to its spread range, the Gardenia Delicia Salted Caramel, a flavoured chocolate spread. The creamy, thick textured and rich caramel taste chocolate spread comes in 2 pack sizes: 200g and 375g.

As part of Gardenia Philippines’ expansion into the non-bread category, the company introduced Gardenia Malaysia’s Delicia chocolate spread into the local Philippine market in 2017.


 has a Ben Foods

Our distribution and warehousing activities are wholly integrated and supported by our own fleet of refrigerated trucks, multi-temperature storage, logistics and distribution facilities.

We import and distribute a wide variety of food and beverage products including meat, milk and dairy products, frozen vegetables, soups, pastries, noodles, confectionery, sauces, spreads, snack products, wines and juices.

Ben Foods’ own proprietary brands of food products have not only become familiar household names, but are exported regionally to countries such as Malaysia, the Philippines, Myanmar, Laos, Cambodia, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Macau, Brunei, Indonesia, Vietnam and Bangladesh.

Our house brands comprise the Cowhead range of quality milk and dairy products, Farmland processed food products, Farmchef (frozen potatoes and meat), Haton (seafood products), Orchard Fresh (beverages) and Spices of the Orient (sauces and seasonings).

We strive to strengthen our proprietary brands by launching new, innovative and functional food products each year.

In 2022, we launched the Cowhead range of creamy instant noodles. This range includes a variety of Asian spicy and western pasta flavours. Cowhead creamy instant noodles are being promoted to be cooked with Cowhead UHT milk as a strategy to further strengthen the brand through product synergy.

Our customers are the foodservice sector and include food manufacturers, fast-food chains and restaurants, supermarkets, wholesalers, independent retail outlets, hotels, hospitals, bakeries, in-flight kitchens and ships.

Our Wine & Spirits division represents and distributes wines from various countries, including France, Italy, Spain, Chile, Argentina, South Africa, Australia and New Zealand. plant in Johor, Malaysia called Farmland Bakery, which produces bakery p

roducts foduce more than 1.3 billion loaves, buns and snack cakes each year. In recognition of our commitment to constant product innovation and excellence, Gardenia has been awarded “Superbrands” status in the Philippines, Malaysia and Singapore. is a leading multi-industry
food company with core businesses
in Bakery, and Distribution
and Warehousing.

We have an extensive operations and distribution network across the Asia-Pacific region including Singapore, Malaysia, the Philippines, Australia, Myanmar, Cambodia, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Macau, Brunei, Indonesia,Vietnam, Laos and Bangladesh.We employ more than 9,000 people regionally and are listed on the Singapore Exchange.