Friday, July 5, 2019

Dow Zone index - DJI

The Dow Zone Index is trading at the peak level after retesting the high of 26952 , it has now retraced a bit to close at 26922 .
It is good to be cautious as the index is hovering at the Peak level!


Looking at the chart for reference, we noticed that it takes about 6 months from 23344 2nd April 2018 to reach the high of 26952 on 3rd Oct 2018 and gone down to touch 21792 on 24th Dec 2018 within the span of 2 months plus.

The same scenario may repeat as it is rising up for more than 6 months period after hitting the high of 26966 on 3rd July 2019. It may go down to revisit 23000 then 22000 level.


Currently, my portfolio allocation is as follows:

SSB & Corporate Bonds - 50%
Cash                                 - 31%
Equity                              - 19%

I would be staying sideline at this moment till we see some clarity from the market direction for the next 2 weeks.

I think half year reporting for the US market may not be good as the business is mostly affected by the trade sage that has been going on for quite sometimes.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.




G Invacom

Friday we had witnessed the nice breaking out moment at 10.7 cents and close well at 11 cents, coupled with high volume this is rather bullish!


Short term wise, it may move up to retest 12 cents then 13 cents with extension to 14 cents.

Pls dyodd.

4th July 2019
TA wise, looks bullish!
It has managed to bounce-off from the low of 3.2 cents and rises higher to touch 10.7 cents, looks rather positive.


The current price of 9.9 cents is staying above its SMA lines plus MACD is rising up nicely likely to continue to trend higher.

Short term wise, I think it may likely re-attempt the recent high of 10.7 cents.
Breaking out with ease + good volume that may drive the price higher towards 12 then 13 cents with extension to 14 cents.

Do exercise with extra cautious as this is a ultra penny counter!

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.




Thursday, July 4, 2019

CapitaComm Trust

Chart wise, it had a very good running up from $1.90 to $2.26 level seems overly extended.
I think high chance it may pull back or reverse !

NAV is $1.815.
DPU of 8.7 cents.
Yield is 3.84%



For investing wise, it is getting overpriced and trading at super premium price.
It has failed my selection criteria for Reits investing that is yielding below 5.5% and having a Price/Book value of 1.245 . Ideally,would prefer to be below P/B of 1 or 0.9x .

When recession set in, I think rental revenue may drop and the yield may be even lower.

Trading wise, I am waiting for the reversal trend to be triggered anytime soon !
This is looking juicy for a shorting candidate!

Not a call to sell or buy.

Pls dyodd.



G Inavcom

TA wise, looks bullish!
It has managed to bounce-off from the low of 3.2 cents and rises higher to touch 10.7 cents, looks rather positive.


The current price of 9.9 cents is staying above its SMA lines plus MACD is rising up nicely likely to continue to trend higher.

Short term wise, I think it may likely re-attempt the recent high of 10.7 cents.
Breaking out with ease + good volume that may drive the price higher towards 12 then 13 cents with extension to 14 cents.

Do exercise with extra cautious as this is a ultra penny counter!

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.




Wednesday, July 3, 2019

Sembcorp Marine

Today has been heavily sold down from 1.54 to close 13 cents lower at 1.41, looks rather bearish!

I think it has been panicky sold down or BB taking advantage to press it lower.

I think it may emerge un-scar .


I still remember when Kepcorp was being fine for a few hundreds million dollars in stead the price continue to fly higher from 7.06 to hit 8.00+.
So, I guess the same situation may repeat again!

If the price corrected too low, I think Ah Kong may decide to take it privatize and shortist will be left stranded . Don't rule out that this may happen.

Recently, they have just gotten the 2 billions funds, so do trade with extra cautious!

I think short term wise, it may likely take a bit of time to recover.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.





Tuesday, July 2, 2019

Raffles Medical

This is another overly beaten down counter that may be worth to take a second look!
It has been on a selling down pressure from 1.50 and gone down all the way to about 98 cents before making its way up to the current price of 1.04, looks.


The current price is trading at about PE 27x that may be viewed as a high PE counter but given that it is on a healthcare sector , it is generally viewed quite acceptable by the market industry.

Dividend of 2.5 cents.
Yield is about 2.4%.

Short term wise, I think it may likely re-attempt to take out 1.05 level.
Breaking out smoothly + good volume that may drive the price higher towards 1.10 then 1.12 with extension to 1.16 level.

Do take note that their China Hospital - RafflesHospital Chongqing has already began its operation since Dec 2018. While construction of RafflesHospital Shanghai, in Pudong, is underway.


The Group’s earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) increased by 1.6% from S$23.3 million in Q1 2018 to S$23.6 million for Q1 2019. The net profit after tax decreased to S$13.7 million in Q1 2019, due to start-up costs for RafflesHospital Chongqing.

On a comparable basis, excluding the results of RafflesHospital Chongqing, the Group’s net profit after tax would have grown by 2.1% instead of a decrease of 11.2%, and EBITDA would have been S$25.4 million – an increase of 9.3% as compared to Q1 2018.

The gestation loss for RafflesHospital Chongqing is within expectation.


The continued strong operating cashflows generated from the Group’s business operations contributed to a healthy cash position of S$111.8 million. This was after accounting for the payment of S$26.5 million for fixed assets under development as well as capital expenditure for business expansion in the first quarter of this year.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.