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Tuesday, August 6, 2019

Starhub

The 2nd quarter result is out!
Net profit is down 37.2% to $39.4m. Half year Net profit is down 30.2% to $88.7m.

Dividend of 2.25 cents has been declared.

Looking at the cash flow statement for 2nd quarter, doens't look so rosy!


FCF is $54.1m but the dividend payout is $108.2m .
If included the Perp securities of $3.9m + Interest paid of $12.5m. The cash flow is running low and insufficient to cover the dividend payout of 2.25 cents.

Cash on hand is $98.2m.

I think is good to be cautious and aware of the company financial status!

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.



4th Aug 2019
Chart wise, looks rather bearish!
It reminds me of another counter that is SPH!

It was trading at $4.75 in 2013, yet today the closing price as of 2nd Aug 2019 was $1.49. What a vast different!


The current price is staying below it's SMA lines, looks like price may continue to go lower.

Short term wise, I think it may retest the recent low of $1.46. If this is broken down then it may go lower to test $1.40 then $1.30 level.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.


STI ETF

Looks like opportunity is back again to take a look at this counter!


Seems oversold and RSI is staying below 20..



6th Jan 2019
The price is getting interesting now!


Looks like 3100 might be a good entry opportunity for me! 

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.


30th May 2019
I think is almost good time to revisit this STI ETF as can be seen from the chart, RSI has driven into oversold territory that is below 20. 


PE is about 11.14x  which is still undervalue as the historical average PE is about 15x.
Dividend yield of about 3+%.



When is the Best time to lock in profit is when the RSI is over 70 and the PE is more than 20.


Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.

I think good investing does not require too many fanciful ideas and strategies. Just one simple no-brainer strategy that can work effectively through time and allow us to sit back and relax to enjoyr the reward of the investment that is working effortlessly to achieve our investment goal of getting 8-10% gain( passive income).

This simple strategy is to invest in a low cost ETF( Exchange Traded Fund)  such as the STI ETF (ES3.SI) or NIKKO AM STI ETF(G3B.SI) 

This method of operation is to buy into STI ETF whenever it is in an oversold condition
 and to 
sell off and take profits whenever it is in an overbought condition. 

For example, one may use the  indicator such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to determine overbought ( above 70 ) or oversold condition( below 30).


One may plan to buy and selling of units in several batches whenever in oversold or overbought conditions in order to get the best average price.

For example you may plan to buy in at different interval or whenever the Oversold situation happen .

In any one year, there will be three to four such window opportunities of overbought or oversold conditions to operate by buying or selling units of the ETF. At the same time, we can also kept some units always to receive dividend income and for their long term growth in price appreciation.

With discipline and patience , one should be able to get good average returns per year in excess of certain % by this one simple strategy of investing in one single ETF .I think This simple one strategy is safe and allow one to sleep soundly at night without worry of negative news affecting individual stocks in one's portfolio which could crash the share price of the particular stock the next day. This is because even if one or two of the component stocks in STI ETF of blue chips should collapse in share prices, there will be 28 others to diversify away the risk of the entire portfolio collapsing at anytime.

As for younger folks who just started out working and does not have enough cashflows and savings , one may start to spread out the different batch of buying or applying the Dollar-cost-averaging method by investing $1000 at 6-8 different batches that would be able to achieve  lower average costs per unit. 

the example are as follows:-

1. When the index price is $2.00, your $1000 will be able to buy 500 shares.
2. When the index price is $2.50, your $1000 will be able to buy 400 shares
3. When the index price is $2.90, your $1000 will be able to buy 344 shares
4. When the index price is $1.66, your $1000 will be able to buy 625 shares
5. When the index price is $3.00, your $1000 will be able to buy 333 shares
6. When the index price is $3.20, your $1000 will be able to buy 312 shares
7. When the index price is $3.50, your $1000 will be able to buy 285 shares

Total = $7000 / 2799 shares = $ 2.50 average cost per unit.

By using this method, you will be able to make a profit once the stock market rises above this low average price.

RSP :

Just sharing.

Not a call to buy or sell.







Please do your own due diligence.

Sunday, August 4, 2019

StarHub

Chart wise, looks rather bearish!
It reminds me of another counter that is SPH!

It was trading at $4.75 in 2013, yet today the closing price as of 2nd Aug 2019 was $1.49. What a vast different!


The current price is staying below it's SMA lines, looks like price may continue to go lower.

Short term wise, I think it may retest the recent low of $1.46. If this is broken down then it may go lower to test $1.40 then $1.30 level.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.


Saturday, August 3, 2019

SPH

TA wise, looks super bearish!
It was trading at $4.00 in 2015 and has been corrected sharply from $4.00 to a low of $2.12 as of 2nd Aug 2019, looks rather negative.



The 3rd quarter Net profit is down 35.1% to $36.38m.
Looks like The share price is under selling down pressure.

Short term wise, I think it may go down to retest $2.075 .
Breaking down of $2.075 with high volume that may likely go further down towards $2.00 with extension to $1.90 level.


NAV $2.10
Interim dividend 5.5 cents.
Final dividend is 3 cents & Special dividend of may be 4 cents( based on past year announcement).
Total dividend of 12.5 cents.

Will there be any cut in special dividend , we will only know when the company report its FY 2019 results in next quarter.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.



Friday, August 2, 2019

Capitaland

TA wise , looks bearish!
It has broken down the support at $3.58 and followed by a Gap down on Friday to close lower at $3.53, this is rather negative.


The current price of $3.53 is staying below its SMA lines + MACD is also trending downwards in orderly manner, looks like it may continue to go lower.

Short term wise, I think it may likely retest $3.50 then $3.47 with extension to $3.40 and below.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.


OCBC Bank

It has just released the 2nd qtr results ,Net profit for Q2 is up 1% to $1.2b. Dividend payout increase to 25 cents .

XD 15 Aug. Pay date 3rd October 2019.

Interim dividend of 25 cents, presume Final will be another 25 cents. Total 50 cents. The current price of $11.21 is yielding a yield of 4.4%.


But chart wise,it is showing a different story!
In fact, the price Gap down and is down 19 cents to $11.23 , coupled with quite a high volume this is rather bearish!

Short term Wise, I think it may go down to retest $11.05 then 10.82 with extension to $10.50.

Presume many would be eyeing to see if  $10.50 would show up again or even $10.00 to give a dividend yield of 5% that would be nice!

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.