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Friday, May 24, 2019

SingTel

SingTel is yielding a yield of 5.6 percent. With regional associates’ earnings beginning to rebound after two years of decline led by potential reduction in losses at Bharti, I think Singtel has the potential to maintain in paying out the dividend of 17.5 beyond 2020.

TA wise, the current price of 3.15 is gaining strength and may likely reclaimed 3.20 level and rises further towards 3.28 and above!


With its 50 days moving average crossing over its 200 days moving average this is rather positive!

Telco is also quite a resilient counter during market volatility.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.



4th quarter results came in quite stable at 766.9m comparable to last year 767.9m.

Final Dividend of 10.7 cents has been declared.
Ex-dividend on 26th July and payout date on 15th Aug. 
Full year dividend of 17.5 cents is nice.




FCF is healthy at about 3.65b which is sufficient to cover the Dividend payout if about 2.8b.

TA wise, looking good to re-attempt 3.20 level.
Crossing over smoothly plus good volume that may drive the price higher towards 3.28 and above.



The company has started to buy back share yesterday of 437,333 share at 3.11-3.12 , looks positive.
Long time didn't see company buying back share.

Not a call to buy or sell.



Pls dyodd.

Apac Realty

1st Quarter 2019 result - announced total revenue of S$77.4 million for the three months ended 31 March 2019 (“1Q FY2019”), compared to S$105.2 million in the previous corresponding period (“1Q FY2018”).


The decline in the Group’s revenue was primarily due to a decrease of S$17.4 million or 25.4% in brokerage income from resale and rental of properties to S$51.0 million in 1Q FY2019, and a decrease of S$10.2 million or 29.9% in brokerage income from new home sales to S$23.9 million in 1Q FY2019. With the decline in revenue, cost of services decreased S$24.4 million or 26.4% to S$67.9 million in 1Q FY2019. As a result, the Group recorded gross profit of S$9.5 million in 1Q FY2019, approximately S$3.4 million or 26.5% lower compared to S$12.9 million in 1Q FY2018.

 1Q FY2019 net profit was S$1.7 million, compared to S$5.9 million in 1Q FY2018. The S$4.2 million decline in net profit was primarily due to a S$3.4 million drop in brokerage income contribution as a result of lower transaction volume following the implementation of the cooling measures, and to a lesser extent, higher expenses of S$0.8 million, which includes among others, an increase of S$0.6 million in marketing activities and incentives and S$0.2 million in operating expenses of a new subsidiary, APAC Investment Pte. Ltd.


Outlook:
Commenting on the outlook for the Singapore market, Mr Chua said, “Looking at URA’s quarterly industry statistics, we believe that the property cooling measures implemented by the government in July 2018 have proven to be effective. With the ABSD and LTV restrictions in place, demand for Singapore residential properties will continue to remain weak and we expect the operating environment to remain challenging over the next few quarters.”

“In our endeavor to build a business with sustainable income growth and resilience through market cycles, we looked beyond the shores of Singapore and expanded in Indonesia and Thailand in February 2019. Whilst these businesses are stable and operate in markets of fast-growing economies, rising standards of living, and have an aggregate population of over 335 million, it will take time for us to realise synergies and grow their contribution to the Group,” said Mr. Chua.

APAC Realty has one of the largest brand footprints in Asia with more than 17,700 salespersons in 633 offices across 10 countries through its ERA franchisees. The Group remains well-positioned with a healthy balance sheet and cash balance of S$34.9 million as at 31 March 2019.





The current price of 50 cents seems like value is appealing!

I think the company might be able to payout 3.5 to 4 cents dividend.

I am looking forward for the 2nd quarter result in July/Aug cum dividend announcement of 1.5 to 2 cents dividend.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.

The price seems to have came down from 62.5 cents after going ex.dividend of 2.5 cents .
It is now trading at 56 cents, that is giving a yield of 7.1% ( base on yearly 4 cents dividend instead of 4.5 ) of which I think is quite an attractive price level.

The company has a healthy FCF as can be seen from the FY2018 financial result.
I think the FCF is sufficient to cover the dividend payout of 4 cents a year.


Debts level seems quite ok at about 0.4% as can been seen from the Balance sheet.
If you take the Loans amount of 57.517m( 2.9 + 54.617) divide by Equity of 143.104m = 0.4% which is considered quite a healthy ratio.

EPS of 6.83 cents.
PE is about 14.5x.
NAV 40.3 cents.


Chart wise, looks bearish!
It is on a downtrend mode chart patterns.
Immediate support is at 55 cents.
The next support level is at 52.5 & 50 cents.

I think current price is trading at an attractive level as the fair value for Apac Realty is about 67 - 73 cents.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.


Wednesday, May 22, 2019

Raffles Medical

TA wise, looks rather bearish!

Today price has revisited 1.00 and close at 1.01, looks rather negative and may likely continue to trend lower.



The company has started to buy back share today but this is just temporary and may likely see further selling down pressure!

Immediate resistance is at 1.00. Breaking down of 1.00 would be super bearish and likely to retest the previous low of 95.3 cents  then 88 cents with extension to 80.
cents .


NAV 45.5 cents
EPS of 3.8 cents.
PE is about 26x at 1.01.


At 80 cents , PE is about 21x , I think would present quite a good price for me to accumulate.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.



DBS

High chance 25.40 would not be able to hold and likely to slide down towards 24.00 and below !



Pls dyodd.

15th May 2019
Chart wise , looks bearish!

After going ex-dividend of 60 & 30 cents the price has been corrected more than it's dividend and close lower at 26.29 from the high of 28.64 .


The current price is staying below it's SMA lines and MACd is still trending downward ,the price may likely continue to trend lower.


If the recent low of 25.40 cannot hold up well then it may continue to go down to retest 24.75 with extension to 23.86 level.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.

Monday, May 20, 2019

AEM

TA wise, looks rather bearish!
The current price of 96.5 cents is staying below it's SMA lines, looks rather negative and may likely go down to retest 90 cents again!


Short term wise, I think it may likely to trend lower!
Breaking down of 90 would be super bearish and may likely go down to 80 cents with extension to 75.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.


STI

Chart wise, looks rather bearish!
The current STI index is at 3205 is staying below its SMA lines looks rather negative and may likely continue to trend lower.

The 200 days moving average is at 3185. Breaking down of the recent low of 3198 plus going below 3185 would be super bearish!


Short term wise, I think it would likely retest 3198 then 3185 with extension to 3100.

Current market is on a downtrend mode.
Practically downtrend for most of the blue chips counter! Shortist advantage. 


Can wait to collect cheap durians like Capitaland 2.80-3.00, Keppel Corp 5.50-6.00, sgx 6.80-7.00, ETF 2.90-3.00

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.