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Monday, July 23, 2018

SembCorp Marine

From TA point of view, we had witnessed a Gapped down yesterday + high volume and closed lowered at $1.83, this is rather negative.

The current pric of $1.83 is hovering near the major support at $1.80/$1.81.
If this level is broken down, then it would be super bearish and may continue to slide down further towards $1.75 then $1.70 with extension to 1.60 level.

The company has started buying back share yesterday. 300,000 share bought back at an average price of $1.845.

http://infopub.sgx.com/Apps?A=COW_CorpAnnouncement_Content&B=AnnouncementLast12Months&F=VB64DDHNBB2R9SDW&H=449a854ad4e71919b41a0fed34f32334f01d3989639662211572fe679024f6d1

quote from DBS : Earnings revisions. Headline losses amounted to S$50m in 1H18. We had expected SMM to be in the red for 1H18 but it seems like revenue and margin recovery will take longer than expected. There is also a lack of visibility for the write-back of cost overruns for disputed variation orders in 2017 (which we estimated to be around S$100m) as negotiations with customers continue. As such, we have lowered our EBIT margin by 1.4ppt in FY18 and pushed back revenue recognition in FY19 given the slow contract wins in 1H18. Our net profit forecast for FY18-19 is reduced from S$54-126m to S$16-64m.

 SMM secured S$730m new orders in 1H18. The contract value for Shell Vito’s Floating Production unit clinched in May2018 was lower than expected at c.S$250m (vs our estimate of S$400m) as customer decided to procure some of the equipment themselves

 1) Potential first customer for SMM’s Gravifloat LNG exporting Terminal - Poly-GCL has reached an agreement with Djibouti on plans for a cross-country pipeline in May. This indicates positive progress of the gas development project and a step closer to finalisation of the Gravifloat contract that is expected to worth c.S$1bn;

2 Seaone’s preliminary study for compressed gas liquid carrier is near completion. Once customer decides to proceed with FID, SMM could secure contract for two such carriers worth a total of S$800m;

 3) Chevron is expected to award the contract for newbuild FPSO that could worth up to US$2bn for its Rosebank project off UK by 3Q18. SMM is competing against the other three Korean peers for the job.

 https://www1.dbsvonline.com/DBSVReport/2018/07/20180723134817_SMM%20-%201H18.pdf

Valuation: Our target price of S$2.50 is based on 2.1x FY18 P/BV, pegged to 0.75SD below its mean valuation since 2004. SMM’s book value has already been written down after the massive S$609m provisions taken in FY15.

 Key Risks to Our View: Key downside risks are sustained low oil prices which would affect rig count and newbuilding activities, execution risks in new product types, and corruption allegations in Brazil that, if found guilty, could lead to financial and reputational loss. Upside risk could come from privatisation or M&A activities, as well as the write-back of provisions from successful deliveries or vessel sales

Looking through their financial numbers for the past five years, Net Income has been declining substantially from $560m in 2014 to a LOss of (78m).

Diluted EPS has been dropping from 19.2 cents to a negative 3.6 cents. This is rather bearish.

Short term wise, would not likely to see any much improvement in terms of their FY2018 result unless they are able to secure huge order to boost their revenue and net income level.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.

 Sembcorp Marine Ltd, an investment holding company, provides offshore and marine engineering solutions worldwide. The company engages in the turnkey design, engineering, procurement, construction, and commissioning of offshore newbuilding and conversions, FSOs, FPSOs, FDPSOs, FPUs, MOPUs, gas terminals, FLNGs, FSRUs, jack-ups, semi-submersibles, drill ships, SSP solutions, TLPs, and SPARs. It also engages in the repair, refurbishment, retrofitting, life-extension, upgrading, and conversion of vessels, marine and offshore structures, LNG and LPG gas carriers, cruise ships, ferries, mega-yachts, floating production vessels, MODUs, tankers, containers, and cargo ships, as well as offers jumboization and dejumboization solutions. In addition, the company offers afloat and emergency repair, underwater cleaning and repair, main engine maintenance and repair, steel and pipe work, electrical and instrumentation repair, mechanical and motor rewind repair, tank cleaning, sludge and oily waste disposal, staging work, hydro jetting and hydro/vacuum blasting, riding crew and voyage repair, specialized workshop repair and reconditioning, vessel towage and port clearance arrangement, specialists service and navigation, automation, safety, and fire protection services. Further, it offers offshore platform solutions, such as integrated process; production, riser, and drilling; wellhead, power generation, manifold, and accommodation platforms; and wind-farm substations, as well as topside modules fabrication, installation, and integration. Additionally, it designs and builds sophisticated, specialized, gas value chain, ferry, RoPax, cruise, renewable energy and offshore support, naval support and security, and research and scientific survey vessels. The company was formerly known as Jurong Shipyard Ltd and changed its name to Sembcorp Marine Ltd in 2000. The company was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Singapore. Sembcorp Marine Ltd. is a subsidiary of Sembcorp Industries Ltd.

Saturday, July 21, 2018

SGX

TA wise, looks bullish!
I think likely to see it re-captured $7.52 and continue to trend higher towards $7.60 then $7.70 with extension to $7.75.

Full year financial result for 2018 would be out on 27th July 2018 after trading hours.
Dividend of 13 cents may likely declare for the final dividend.

http://infopub.sgx.com/Apps?A=COW_CorpAnnouncement_Content&B=AnnouncementLast12MonthsSecurity&F=CDEZFN5SILEP94VP&H=587b7d5900d1d0c3a63baa28eb4863009f9131120f3e69ef2d7af6684f667ea9


EPS is about 34 cents, PE is about 22x seems floating at a reasonable trading level. If market is bullish than we may likely see it rises towards PE25-28x.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.





Looking through their financial numbers for past 5 yeas, Total revenue has been rising from $686m in 2014 to $839m in 2018. This is rather impressive. Similarly, diluted EPS has also been rising from 22 cents in 2014 to 25.5 cents in 2018. A nice and consistence increasing of total revenue cum rising in diluted EPS. Looks positive.

Dividend of 28 cents has been declared for past 5 years from 2014 to 2018. The current price of $7.49 is giving a yield of 3.7% which is pretty attractive.

Net Income has also been generally rising from $320m in 2014 to $364m in 2018. What a great achievement for this Singapore Exchange authority.

I would monitor this counter and consider when the trading opportunity surfaced/triggered.

Trade/invest base on your own decision.


Singapore Exchange Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates an integrated securities exchange and derivatives exchange in Singapore and related clearing houses. It operates through Equities and Fixed Income; Derivatives; and Market Data and Connectivity segments. The company provides issuer, securities trading and clearing, post trade, membership and collateral management, derivatives trading and clearing, and market data and connectivity services. It also offers counterparty guarantee, and depository and related services for securities transactions; bond trading services; front-line regulatory functions; and computer services and software maintenance services, as well as consultancy services. In addition, the company provides and distributes bulk freight market indices and information; and operates regulated freight derivatives trading facility and electricity market. Singapore Exchange Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Friday, July 20, 2018

SembCorp Marine

Sembcorp Marine results for second quarter and half year 2018

Key highlights:

For the six months to June 30, 2018

 Group revenue of $2.81 billion, including sale completion of West Rigel rig for US$500 million

 Net loss of $50 million, including $27 million loss recognised from sale of West Rigel

 $730 million in new contracts secured in 1H 2018

 Net orderbook of $7.27 billion as at 1H 2018

Interim Dividend 

After due deliberation, the Board has adopted a prudent approach to conserving cash in light of the challenging business environment. As such, no interim dividend has been declared for 1H 2018. For 1H 2017, a 1.0 cent dividend per share had been declared.

TA wise, it is looking rather bearish!
The price is staying below its 20,50,100 & 200 moving average.



I think short term wise, the recent low of $1.91 would be likely breaking down and continue to slide down further towards 1.81 with extension to $1.71 level.

On a segmental basis: 

 Turnover for Rigs & Floaters was $2.41 billion in 1H 2018, compared with $643 million in 1H 2017. The higher revenue was related to recognition of the Borr Drilling and BOTL jack-up deliveries, sale of West Rigel, as well as higher floaters revenue on percentage recognition of the ongoing Johan Castberg FPSO and Shell Vito FPU projects, and ongoing recognition of revenue from the Transocean drillships.

Offshore Platforms revenue was $147 million in 1H 2018, lower than the $473 million in 1H 2017 due to fewer contracts on hand. During the second quarter, revenue from the remaining work for the three topside modules for the Culzean platform topsides was booked and delivered on schedule in June 2018.

 Revenue from Repairs & Upgrades totalled $205 million in 1H 2018 compared with $232 million in 1H 2017 on fewer ships repaired. A total of 158 ships and other vessels were repaired or upgraded in the first half compared with 239 units in 1H 2017. Average revenue per vessel was higher on improved vessel mix of relatively higher-value works.

The Group posted 1H 2018 operating loss of $33 million and a net loss of $50 million. This compares with a net profit of $42 million in 1H 2017, which was mainly due to a gain of $47 million from the sale of Cosco Shipyard Group. 1H 2018 loss was due to (i) lower overall business activities with key orders secured in 2015 substantially completed while new orders secured since end 2017 are at early execution stage; and (ii) sale of West Rigel, which was completed and recognised in 2Q 2018 at a loss of $27 million.

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow 

Net debt remained relatively stable at $2.99 billion, with net debt to equity at 1.26 times as at 30 June 2018 compared with 1.13 times as at end FY2017. Operating cash flow generated before working capital changes was $66 million in 1H 2018. Cash used in operations in 1H 2018 was $38 million, mainly due to working capital for ongoing projects, offset by receipts from ongoing and completed projects.

Outlook CAPEX spend on global exploration and production (E&P) continues to improve with firmer oil prices in the first half of 2018. However, offshore rig order recovery will take some time as the market remains oversupplied, particularly for jack-up rigs. There are some pockets of initial demand for mid and deep water rigs. The majority of new orders have been for offshore production projects. This trend is expected to continue and Sembcorp Marine is responding to an encouraging pipeline of enquiries and tenders for innovative engineering solutions. Competition in the repairs and upgrades segment remains intense. The segment will be underpinned by regulations that require ballast water treatment systems and gas scrubbers to be installed over the next two to five years.

The overall industry outlook remains challenging. While improvement in E&P CAPEX spending is projected to continue, it will take some time before we see a sustained recovery in new orders. The Group’s transformation efforts to move up the value chain have resulted in new business opportunities but they require significant time and effort in project co-development with potential customers before orders are secured. Such new-build engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) projects have detailed engineering and construction planning phase, which may take as long as six to twelve months before main construction activities and corresponding revenue recognition can take place. Margins remain compressed with intense competition. Overall business volume and activity for the Group is expected to remain low for the immediate quarters. The trend of negative operating profit will continue in the near term. Our cash resources remain sufficient and we will prudently manage our costs and cash flows to align them with business volume and potential opportunities. We will actively pursue the conversion of as many enquiries into new orders, execute existing orders efficiently and position the Group well for the industry recovery.


SingTel

The awaited Breaking out moment is finally surfaced!
Bravo! This Breakout is couple with high volume and closed well at $3.31 level.

The bull is in control at this moment!

We may likely see it continues to rise higher towards $3.40 then $3.50 level.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.

12th July 2018
Are you loosing sleep with your SingTel invested share price keep heading lower?
The whole telco industry sector has been overly punished with the incoming of the 4th operator that may begin its operation on Dec 2018.

I think market has overly reacted and the price has been driven into oversold territories.

I think wise income investor may view this as a golden opportunity to slowly accumulate.








Plus point:
I think SingTel has a stronger balance sheet, stronger free cash flow and it pays out a fraction of its earnings as dividends to shareholders.


If the price on a good investment goes lower, I think it is presenting a good value .

TA wise, It is on a nice reversal chart patterns, looks rather bullish.

With the series of Gap Up, likely to see it retest 3.30 level and head higher towards 3.40 then 3.50 level.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.



18 May 2018 - long time didn't see company buying back share ! Looks positive!

Today saw the company bought back 294000+ share between $3.42 to $3.43.

http://infopub.sgx.com/Apps?A=COW_CorpAnnouncement_Content&B=AnnouncementToday&F=H1UR0B3BPABL4KB0&H=b2e5d5b80b08f4cc5d2922ce03a9263e1a932c75229c687d33fd403eb23c2132


Singtel posts record full-year earnings on NetLink Trust divestment and strong core business 

Financial year ended 31 March 2018








 Record net profit of S$5.45 billion, including divestment gains from NetLink Trust  Operating revenue up 5% to S$17.53 billion

 Strong core and digital businesses drive growth








 Free cash flow up 18% to S$3.61 billion on strong operating cash flow

 Q4 revenue stable and net profit down 19% on weaker associates’ earnings

 Proposed final dividend per share of 10.7 cents; total dividend per share of 17.5 cents











DIVIDENDS

The Board is recommending a final ordinary dividend per share of 10.7 cents, bringing the total ordinary dividend per share for the year to 17.5 cents, representing a payout of approximately S$2.86 billion.

Barring unforeseen circumstances, the Group expects to maintain its ordinary dividends of 17.5 cents per share for the next two financial years and thereafter, will revert to the payout of between 60% and 75% of underlying net profit.










“These results reflect the strong execution of our digital transformation strategy in both our core and new digital businesses. Optus gained market share in Australia underscoring its network and content strategy while our ICT and digital businesses now account for 24% of revenue, with digital marketing arm Amobee achieving growth and positive EBITDA for the year,” said Ms Chua Sock Koong, Singtel Group CEO. “We remain focused on what is important to both our consumer and enterprise customers – premium mobile networks, secure high-speed connectivity, innovative products and services, and excellent customer service. Besides strengthening our competitiveness, this allows us to deliver even greater value to customers.”








 Across the region, all of the Group’s regional associates continued to drive growth in data. However, Airtel’s results were impacted by intense competition with very aggressive pricing led by a new player and further aggravated by mandated cuts in mobile termination rates in India. This is despite recording its highest quarterly net customer adds and strong data usage growth in India, and continued positive growth momentum in Africa. Last month, Airtel announced the merger of Indus Towers and Bharti Infratel to create the largest tower company in the world outside of China, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals. Telkomsel’s earnings were impacted by the decline in legacy services and heightened price competition particularly during the SIM card registration implementation. Profit contributions from AIS grew on revenue improvement and cost management. Globe also delivered strong earnings growth due to robust data revenue growth and cost control.

Competition remains intense in India but the right regulatory policies and sector consolidation should lead to a more stable market structure in the mid term. In Indonesia, Telkomsel Singapore Telecommunications Limited 2 of 8 Company registration number: 199201624D continues to expand its network to create significant capacity and grow its digital business.

 To forge new areas of growth, we are accelerating collaborations with our regional associates to build an ecosystem of digital services by leveraging the Group’s strengths and customer base across 21 countries.” Recently announced initiatives include a cross-border payments service to connect the Group’s telco wallets in Asia, and strategic partnerships in the areas of e-payments, e-sports and sports content. The Group’s cash position remains strong.

Free cash flow for the full year rose 18% to S$3.61 billion, and for the quarter grew 5% to S$800 million.








GROUP CONSUMER

 In Australia, Optus gained market share as it successfully differentiated itself through its network and content strategy. For the full year, it added a total of 384,000 new mobile customers and 225,000 new NBN broadband customers.

Revenue grew 3% in the quarter as higher equipment sales and strong customer growth offset lower NBN migration revenues due to NBN’s temporary suspension order while EBITDA declined 5%. Excluding NBN migration revenues, revenue would have grown 6% and EBITDA increased 3%. Mobile service revenue grew 1%, impacted by higher service credits. Postpaid ARPU was affected by an increased mix of SIM-only plans, higher device repayment credits and data price competition. Mass market fixed revenues excluding NBN migration revenues increased 6%.

In Singapore, for the quarter, consumer revenue was down 4% and EBITDA declined 14%. Mobile communications revenue was impacted by voice to data substitution, declines in roaming services and a higher mix of SIM-only plans.

The launch of premium handsets presented an opportunity to increase customer recontracting numbers, strengthen customer relationships and reduce churn. Around 18% of new and recontracting postpaid customers signed up for SIM-only plans during the quarter. Home revenues declined with the cessation of Premier League sublicensing and lower fixed voice usage but was partially mitigated by continued growth in broadband services.

Singtel relaunched its flagship store at Comcentre with state-of-the-art features and integration of online-offline channels to give customers greater ease of use.








In the content space, Group Consumer scored broadcasting rights for all the 2018 FIFA World Cup matches in Singapore and Australia. Optus also secured exclusive Premier League rights for three more seasons, solidifying its position as a leading multi-media entertainment company.

GROUP ENTERPRISE

 Group Enterprise revenue was stable for the quarter as growth in ICT revenues offset the continued erosion of the carriage business. ICT services was boosted by strong contributions from cyber security and cloud services.

Cyber security revenue rose 16% on the back of strong growth in managed security services and momentum in the Asia Pacific region.

In Australia, Optus Business maintained its revenue momentum at 5% growth this quarter, driven by sustained growth in mobile revenue and major ICT contract wins.

GROUP DIGITAL LIFE 

Group Digital Life continued to scale and make progress towards profitability. Revenue grew 54%1 for the quarter with EBITDA at breakeven, lifted by one-off content cost credit and government grants.








In my opinion, SingTel has again shown it ability to grow its business and total revenue for the Full Year rises 4.9% to 17,532m.

Underlying Net profit is down 7.8% ( excluding divestment gains) was 3,544m.

Underlying Net profit if included divestment gain of 1,908m , Up 42.2% to 5,451m.

What an outstanding result.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.


Thursday, July 19, 2018

KepCorp

2Q2018 result:
looks like a good set of financial result.
EPS of 32.2 cents for 1H 2018 an increased of 38% , looks rather impressive.

Estimated whole year EPS of 64.4 cents. Current price of $6.96 would be having a PE of 10.9x. Looks quite attractive.

Interim dividend increased of 2 cents to 10 cents + a Special dividend of 5 cents. Total 15 cents.
Shareholders would be more than happy to see dividend increasing.

Short term wise, we may see a boost in share price given a good set of financial nos.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.



Net profit was S$583m  EVA was S$275m

 Annualised ROE was 9.9%

 Free cash inflow of S$886m in 1H 2018, vs inflow of S$204m in 1H 2017

 Net gearing was 0.40x at end-Jun 2018 vs 0.46x at end-Dec 2017

 Declared interim dividend of 10.0 cents per share and special dividend per share of 5.0 cents for 1H 2018

1H 2018 net profit S$583m, up 38% yoy



Multiple Earnings Streams 

 Recurring income was S$130m or 22% of net profit for 1H 2018

Marine & Off-shore Net Loss of 40m.
Net loss due to lower work volume and associate contributions, and higher overseas taxes

 Lower overheads contributed to S$14m operating profit in 1H 2018

 1H 2018 new contracts of over S$1.2b including S$680m in 2Q 2018:

 Two new jackup orders from Borr Drilling as part of five-rig deal worth US$745m

 Two dual-fuel dredgers from Van Oord and a dual-fuel tanker from Sinanju

Net order book of S$4.6b as at end-Jun 2018

Property

1H 2018 net profit S$603m, up 214% yoy

Infrastructure 

1H 2018 net profit S$66m, up 16% yoy

Key Highlights  Keppel Infrastructure continues to deliver steady earnings

 Keppel Marina East Desalination Plant (KMEDP) close to 50% completed

 Hong Kong Integrated Waste Management Facility (HKIWMF) in design and engineering phase

 Recurring revenue of ~S$70m from Infrastructure Services in 1H 2018

 KMEDP and HKIWMF to boost recurring revenue when operational

Investments

1H 2018 net loss $46m.




Tuesday, July 17, 2018

Hi-P



From TA point of view ,  the current price of $1.25 is still trading above its 20 days moving average but below 50MA at sbout $1.31 level. It will be quite positive if it is able to move up to re-captured $1.31 level. 






Breaking out of $1.31 with ease + good volume, that may propel to drive the price higher towards $1.40 level then $1.50 with extension to $1.57.

The Nasdaq Composite hit a record high on Tuesday as strong gains in Amazon and a rebound in Netflix shares led to a big comeback in tech stocks.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq rose 0.6 percent to 7,855.12, after falling as much as 0.7 percent, as Amazon reached an all-time high. Meanwhile, Netflix closed just 5.2 percent lower after falling as much as 14.1 percent earlier in the session.(cnbc.com)

Hopefully, this may help to drive the price higher!

I think director bought back quite a huge share transaction /married deal of about 72+m share . This is rather positive. A boost of confidence.





quote : http://infopub.sgx.com/FileOpen/_MAS%20Form%201_Yao%20Hsiao%20Tung.ashx?App=Announcement&FileID=511404


NAV of 65.4 cents.
Rolling EPS of 15 cents.
PE of less than 10X
Dividend of about 10 cents.
Yield is 7% which is rather impressive.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.





Latest 1Q result for your reference. Gross Profit increased 13% to reach 37.8m. 
Net Profit increase marginally of 1.3% to 12.1m after factoring the foreign exchange loss of 13m..


Hi-P International Limited operates as an integrated contract manufacturer serving the telecommunications, consumer electronics, computing and peripherals, lifestyle, and medical and industrial devices industries. The company operates through three segments: Precision Plastic Injection Molding; Mold Design and Fabrication; and Provision of Sub-Product Assembly and Full-Product Assembly Services. It manufactures and sells molds and special tools, related housing appliance plastic components and equipment, and water treatment equipment; plastic components and plastic product modules; mold base and components; electric components and electronic communication equipment; in-mold decoration lenses; precision stamped metal components and precision tools; and metal and non-metal stampings, as well as provides spray painting, engineering support, maintenance, and technology consultation services. In addition, the company engages in the manufacture, wholesale, import and export, and sale of electronic telecommunication devices, housing appliances, automated equipment, and related components. Further, it manufactures and sells trays, mobile phones, telecommunication products, digital cameras and related electronic products, and electric toothbrushes; assembles coffee machines and parts, as well as provides related maintenance and after-sales services; and offers investment and management consulting services. Additionally, the company engages in the assembly and provision of ancillary value-added services, primarily surface finishing services. It has operations primarily in the People's Republic of China, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Europe, the United States, the rest of Americas, and internationally. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Singapore.