Are you Greedy or Fearful

Wilmar - $3.04! Wow! Value is appearing. NAV of $3.40. Only those who had faith and patiently waiting for tide ti turn may reap the reward! Pls dyodd.

Holding up well within the range of 3.20 to 3.26 . Looks like it may likely re-captured $3.28 . Breaking out of $3.28 with ease + good volume that may propel to drive the price higher towards $3.30 then $3.40.


I think the dir has bought back share again at $3.20 per share .

http://infopub.sgx.com/Apps?A=COW_CorpAnnouncement_Content&B=AnnouncementLast12Months&F=WGMX1YIGZQV8TT6W&H=fa52113b6aac6e348f976b8f1644381902142a5ff2c3c7c0c6d9bcaf2d53b2fc


Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.




18 May 2018 - Wil dir has been buying up share after the released of their first quarter result!

He has snapped up share raning from $3.11 to $3.15.



Without this support ,price may have corrected lower.

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It has now managed to recover and fill up the Gap at $3.21.
Yesterday closed well at $3.23, looks rather bullish!



It may move up to retest $3.28 soon!

Do take note that it's NAV is about $3.30-$3.40.



Wilmar Intl Went up to touch the high of $3.27 but was being sold down end of the day to close at $3.21 . Down 4 cents from $3.25 yesterday closing price.

It seems like some insider news being leaked prior to result was released after trading hours.

1Q 2018 result, Total revenue was up 5.7% to 11.116m.Net profit was down 37.2 % to US183.4m , EPS of 3.2 (US) due to lower palm oil price and sugar ops loss.

Ops cash flow was healthy generating US1.83m.

NAV of $3.40.

Not a call to buy or sell.

 Wilmar - touch $3.26 again. Looks rather bullish! Breaking out with ease may sail smoothly towards $3.30.

MACD is rising that may likely provide further indication that the share price may likely continue to trend higher.

Price is hovering above the SMA lines. High chance for a nice breaking out moment that may take the price higher to 3.30 and $3.40 and above.

Not a call to buy or sell.
please do your own due diligence.




Wilmar Intl - NAV $3.304, Rolling EPS 0.306, PE 13.721.

Together with Interim dividend of 3 cents. Total dividend is 10 cents. Yield is 3.2% at $3.12 per share. The recent share buying back by company director of 2.44m share at $3.103 per share & 79300 share at $3.18 per share may likely be a boost of confidence.. I have jeep small lots at $3.12 today.


.I am buying for the future growth and may be the listing of their China ipo.. dyodd. Reply to @Sporeshare : Ah.....This is the golden big question! If Wilmar is really pushing for an IPO of their China operations in Shanghai exchange, I think can look at other similar commodity giants that are already listed in Shanghai exchange to see where are they trading now in their price to earnings multiple. That will give us a good gauge what types of multiples we are potentially looking at. Surely, we cannot expect Wilmar to list their China operations at too low a gap from their peer competitors on Shanghai exchange. If that is the case, why still push for IPO listing if the valuation it would fetch is not attractive at all? If want to unlock value by the IPO, might as well unlock it well.

 I attached an article from TheEdgeSingapore which an analyst pegs a target price of $4.10 based on an attractive valuation now, strong crushing margins so far in FY18 and the anticipated listing of its China unit. You can read through the article to see the rationale put forth by the analyst. In any case, we are not trying to be precise in forecasting our target price.

 The analyst puts forth a possible listing of the China unit at up to 23 P/E ratio on the Shanghai exchange. Based on good common sense and my previous sharing, Wilmar's share price definitely has all the good catalysts as we can see currently going for it to reach a higher price level. My previous estimated fair price of $3.18 is based on a worst case scenario. Unless we think Wilmar will eventually fail in all accounts of the prospected catalysts in having weaker overall performance this year and anticipated listing of it's China unit falls through, then worst case scenario may pan out. Thus, the downside as I can see on probability terms is low while upside has high probability of happening. Therefore, if you ask me, is $4 you quoted likely to reach in future? My answer is even if not reaching $4, I think the probability of the share price rising higher from current level in view of all these potential future catalysts is surely there. How about a $3.60 price in future based on my "anyhow" guess? I think that will be already at least a good perk of 11.5% share price gain if it really happens by this year end. $4.10 will be even more "shiok" with a potential return of 26.9% if it really happens within one year's time based on the analyst's target price in this article by

TheEdgeSingapore! I think it is a case of making either more or lesser returns from this bet here on Wilmar. As long as one does not chase at higher price if it should chiong but instead has already accumulated cheap in advance, one should be falling into the case of making more or lesser returns on this bet hopefully within one year's time frame. https://www.theedgesingapore.com/wilmar-kept-add-valuations-strong-crushing-margins-and-upcoming-listing-china-unit Wilmar International. The overall feel I have of this large agricultural international group is that it already has extensive and deep degree of reach in it's agricultural and related businesses in terms of many geographical regions they are in (about 50 countries as reported on their website with about 500 manufacturing plants worldwide) and also the entire value chain they are serving from upstream plantation and harvesting to mid stream processing and refining to downstream distribution and sales of their final products to consumers. On a one decade time frame, Wilmar International has compounded it's revenues at a CAGR of 10.3% which is respectable and not surprising considering how significant this group has grown over the years. It's operating income has compounded at a CAGR of 8.1% over the past decade. It's net income has compounded at a CAGR of 7.7% over the past decade. It's EPS has compounded at a CAGR of 4.1% over the past decade. Again, this looks like a moderate to slow grower over the past decade just slightly better than SATS that we looked at previously in terms of the growth in it's profitability. If we look at their past 5 years trend for the revenue, operating income, net income and EPS, there was a dip in all these metrics after FY12 onwards which only recovered in their FY17 results near to FY12 levels.

 qUOTE : I checked up the palm oil historical prices and indeed it confirmed my thinking that this dip over the past 5 years which only recovered recently was probably correlated to the drop in palm oil price over the past 5 years. Currently, palm oil price has recovered from the lows but still it is now only two-thirds of the last peak price reached in 2012. The big question is whether the palm oil price will continue to recover towards the last peak price reached in 2012 going forward or continue to hold around current price and do a ding-dong in price, sometimes up and sometimes down but no clear up direction for the next few years? This I do not know as I think only insiders of the palm oil industry will know the dynamic factors of global supply and demand affecting palm oil prices. I consider this as outside my circle of competence. But looking at palm oil historical prices, it sure looked quite volatile to me and hard to grasp.{ jeremyowtaip} As such, the various trend on their returns on assets (ROA), returns on equity (ROE) and returns on invested capital have also dipped over the past 5 years and have almost recovered in the latest set of FY17 results to close to same returns as FY12. However, the various returns are still single digits returns in %. For example in FY17, ROA is now around 3% while ROE is around 7.6%. If we stretch further backwards to compare their current returns against one decade ago which the various returns were higher in FY07 of ROA around 6.7% while ROE was around 13.8%, we can clearly see that Wilmar is now not a high return beast as it used to be a decade ago. It seems that it is not easy to attain the same returns as before anymore now that Wilmar has outgrown so much that at it's current size it cannot generate the same returns on assets and shareholder equity as before. Now again, the big question is how will the various returns going forward in future years be like? Will it remain around same level as now or become lower? Size is one thing which makes it increasingly difficult to generate the same level of returns. What if they can grow their revenue and profits further in future years should palm oil prices recover? Maybe there could be a chance to improve their returns though going back to double digits returns likely will be difficult.

This would mean they have to increase their current net profits by another approximately 120% at current size of total assets for example to go back to previous decade ago record of ROA. A jump in 120% increase in net profits at current level of USD 1.22 billion for WIlmar next year based on core businesses and not through some non-recurring disposal of assets? One must be joking to ask the dog to jump over the high wall! The financial leverage of Wilmar has been steady over the years managing their debts level and balance sheet well. Cash flows wise though can be volatile seems to still generate free cash flows at least enough to pay a dividends which has grown over the past decade. Their CAGR for EPS over the past 5 years has been about 0% even though 10 years CAGR was 4.1%. I will factor in a best case scenario and a worst case scenario in estimating their fare share price value taking into account all the above mentioned details of this comment. If we make a best case scenario of Wilmar continuing to grow it's current EPS at CAGR of 4.1% going forward, then using my method of estimation, their fare share price will be $4.25. However, if we make a worst case scenario of a CAGR of 2% on their EPS going forward for next business cycle (7 years), then their fair share price will be $3.18. This is mind-blowing! It all depends on the performance of Wilmar going forward. If they can parallel their historical compounded growth rates on their EPS, then it will be a bonus to buy their shares now at cheap cheap share price! However, should they grow at a lower forward CAGR about somewhere half in % terms on their EPS, then we are exactly getting Wilmar now at fair value $3.18 and it will not be cheap now to buy! This really requires an investor's forward opinion on how Wilmar will perform for next 7 years cycle to decide whether to put in his or her stake at current price. Will this be a value buy or value trap? Hmm Wilmar International has since diversified their commodity businesses over the years into business segments including tropical oils, oilseeds and grains, sugar and biofuels and other investment businesses. This horizontal diversification and vertical integration tapping at all levels of the value chain has allowed Wilmar to grow to it's current humongous size despite being in a general low profit margin agricultural commodity businesses. I forgot to mention another important piece of bright spot for Wilmar! I read up in it's most recent financial report that they are considering looking at an IPO listing of their China rice, flour and related consumer products operations in China.


http://sbr.com.sg/agribusiness/news/wilmar-eyes-china-expansion But things are still in the early stage of assessment. If that were to happen, imagine the craze of investors rushing in for this potential spin-off of their China businesses which will unlock value for shareholders. Then, buying at current share price is now cheap if we factor in this potential unlocking of value from such a future proposition which will increase their profits and returns by some substantial jump if that were to happen some time down the road. It may happen as early as 2019 based on a write-up by Singapore Business Review. Hmm....I am now starting to get somewhat interested after knowing this. Some info on Shree Renuka Sugars I found out. It is the largest raw sugar producer in India and Brazil. As what the others have pointed out, the management was too aggressive in their overseas expansion bet in South America which didn't go well chalking up huge debts. This is because after year 2012, the sugar prices dropped from their peak reached and also correlated to Shree Renuka's operating losses from 2013 to now as sugar prices remain lower and now only recovered to two-third of the peak price reached in 2012. Wilmar has this chance to acquire a controlling stake in Shree Renuka Sugars because the latter chalked up so much debts from their aggressive expansion to South America market which didn't pan out well. Thus, during this current debt restructuring exercise, Wilmar can take this opportunity to acquire a controlling stake in the equity of India and Brazil largest raw sugar producer Shree Renuka Sugars. quote :I will need to examine the financial strength of Wilmar whether they can take on this acquisition without risking themselves too much. But, the offer to acquire a controlling stake in Shree Renuka Sugars by itself sounds to be a wonderful move. If sugar prices should continue to recover to previous peaks in 2012 and earlier, Shree Renuka Sugars may be able to return to better profitability again. The return on invested capital for Shree Renuka Sugars before they went downhill in 2013 are still good. If Wilmar after acquiring Shree Renuka Sugars can turnaround this largest sugar producer in India and Brazil successfully, it will be very good for Wilmar to further expand their sugar business significantly.

PS: Shall investigate whether Wilmar is strong enough to take on this acquisition without stressing their balance sheet too much. Get back to you again. I did an estimation on the required amount for Wilmar to make the acquisition of shares in Shree Renuka Sugars based on regulations of Securities and Exchange Board of India after Wilmar converted it's convertible preference shares to common equity shares and triggered the regulations of the exchange to make an offer to acquire up to 26% of the emerging share capital of Shree Renuka Sugars. The cash outlay needed to acquire up to 26% of the emerging share capital of Shree Renuka Sugars is approximately USD 124 million. Wilmar has about USD 2.96 billion in cash and equivalents plus other bank deposits. It's current ratio stands at around 1.15 based on FY17 financial report. This acquisition requires very small cash outlay for Wilmar as compared to the cash and bank deposits it now has. However, after the acquisition of a controlling stake in Shree Renuka Sugars has been completed, I am not sure how much remaining debts of Shree Renuka Sugars Wilmar will carry as some of the debts owed to the lenders have been converted to equity in Shree Renuka Sugars. I checked up Shree Renuka Sugars balance sheet as at Sep 17. They carried a total of about USD 1 billion worth of total liabilties on their balance sheet. With some of the borrowings of Shree Renuka Sugars converted to equity, the total liabilities should be lesser than this figure. Thus, with Wilmar's existing USD 2.96 billion in cash and equivalents plus bank deposits and if we consider Wilmar's current assets of total about USD 22.6 billion, Wilmar definitely has much more than enough resources to cover the liabilities of Shree Renuka Sugars even after Wilmar completes this acquisition of a controlling stake in it.


 There is no concern at all in acquiring a controlling stake in Shree Renuka Sugars for Wilmar. Instead, Wilmar would have gotten this India and Brazil largest raw sugar producer under it's wings.(jeremyowtaip) But having said that, those few stocks we discussed about like Wilmar and Thai Beverage are good stocks to hold for the longer term as there are future potential catalysts in them. The potential listing of China operations for Wilmar which will unlock value for shareholders and may re-rate share price higher. The future long term contributions to earnings and returns from the new acquisitions for Thai Beverage will outpace the cost of their initial investment. The market position of Thai Beverage has strengthened as a leader in this Southeast Asia region with these acquisitions. The fair share price of Thai Beverage I cannot determine at the moment. But, in future the direction of the share price can only go one way which is up as the new acquisitions start to increase the overall profitability and cash flows further while the debts get slowly reduced over time. For SATS, it is a steady slow grower. Just need a bear market to grab it cheap at fair value or lower than fair value and see the price will bounce back and trade higher than fair value due to so many favourables surrounding it which may continue for a very long number of years ahead.

YZJ Ship Bldg

A typical short rebound that is unable to hold as it has again came falling down after touching above $1.00.
Current price of 90.5 cents is looking rather shaky and may likely move down to retest 89 cents.

Breaking down would be super Bearish and may likely see the price going further down towards 80 with extension to 75.

Not a call to buy or sell.
Pls dyodd.

8th June 2018
A nice rebound has taken place after hitting the low of 90 cents and rises to touch $1.04.
It has since taking a breather and it may likely retest the critical level at 1.00.

Breaking down of $1.00 would be rather bearish and may likely see further selling down pressure.
Immediate resistance is at 1.04 and the next resistance level is at 1.08.
The support would be at 95.5 follow-by 90 cents.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.



30 May 2018

Dow jumps more than 300 points after banks rebound; small caps hit new record.

The company bought back 5m share at 90-91.5 cents, looks like we may see a strong rebound today especially with Dow gaining 300+ points overnight.

• The Dow Jones industrial average rose more than 300 points, with Boeing, Chevron and Home Depot leading the blue-chip stocks higher. The Russell 2000 hit a new high.
• The euro recovers much of its previous losses with a 1.1 percent climb against the greenback to $1.166.
• An uptick in rates push the big banks upward, with Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and Wells Fargo all finishing up more than 1 percent.
• Crude oil futures settled higher Wednesday, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) up $1.48, or 2.22 percent. (Cnbc.com)

Chart wise, we have witnessed the price Gap down from 95 cents to touch the low of 90 cents . It has manage to bounce-off from this level and closed higher at 92.5 cents .



Looks like we are seeing a hammer shape candlestick bar is appearing on the chart, seem like bull is able to take control of the situation.

Short term wise, we may likely see a reversal play taking place it it is able to overcome 97.5 cents and rises back to $1.00 and above .

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.

NAV of $1.29.
Dividend of 4.5 cents

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (Holdings) Ltd., an investment holding company, operates in the shipbuilding activities. The company operates through Shipbuilding, Investments, Trading, and Others segments. It produces a range of commercial vessels, such as containerships, dry bulk carriers, oil tankers, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers. The company also engages in the production and processing of steel structures. In addition, it facilitates the sale and export of ships for the ship builder; trades in ship related equipment and shipbuilding related materials/supplies; provides microcredit to enterprises and individuals; invests in held-to-maturity financial assets; and supplies marine equipment and materials. Further, the company is involved in the ship demolition and vessel owning activities. It primarily serves ship owners in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Greece, Norway, Argentina, Turkey, Bulgaria, Poland, Australia, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, India, Thailand, Bangladesh, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, etc. The company was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Jingjiang, China.

I

AIMSAMP Cap Reit

NAV of $1.3725

DPU for FY 2018 is about 10.3 cents , down 6.8% as compared to last year 11.05 cents.

Gearing is about 38% which is staying within the acceptable level of below 45%.

The DPU for FY2018 was lower compared to FY2017 partly due to the increase in Units arising from the private placement of 42,145,000 Units in December 2017. Excluding the effects from the private placement, DPU for 4Q FY2018 and FY2018 would be approximately 2.75 cents and 10.46 cents respectively. 

The placement share was being offered at $1.305 per share. Representing a 6.9% discount for the market traded share price of $1.405 as in Nov 2017. 

Yield is pretty good at the current price of $1.38 which is 7.46% based on DPU of 10.3 cents.

Gross revenue is slightly lowered in FY 2018 of 116.9m versus 120m in FY2017. A decreased of 2.7%. 

Net Property Income came in slightly lowered in FY2018 of 76.4m versus 79.4m in FY2017. A decreased on 3.8%.

Looking through their past DPU for the past five years, we can notice that the DPU had been fluctuating from 10.3 to 11.4 cents. Giving a average yield of 10.8 cents.

Comparing to previous year, DPU seems to be declining slightly . Hopefully, it will stay within the current range . 

I think investor may want to monitor to see what would be the coming quarter result to determine the DPU to be declared for April - June period to see if DPU can staying withing the range of 10.3 to 11 cents.

TA wise, seems like it is being traded in a consolidated mode. Nothing to shout about!

The support level is at 1.35.

It would be good if it can re-conquer 1.42 price level with ease and rises towards $1.45 level.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.

AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT (“AA REIT” or the “Trust”) is a real estate investment trust which was listed on the Main Board of the SGX-ST on 19 April 2007. The principal investment objective of the Manager is to invest in a diversified portfolio of income-producing real estate assets located in Singapore and throughout the Asia-Pacific region that is used for industrial purposes, including, but not limited to warehousing and distribution activities, business park activities and manufacturing activities. The Manager’s key objectives are to deliver stable distributions to Unitholders and to provide long-term capital growth. The Group1 has a portfolio of 26 industrial properties, 25 of which are located throughout Singapore and one business park property in Macquarie Park, New South Wales (“NSW”), Australia2 . 

DBS Bank

Downtrend prevail!
Looks like it may likely breaking down the recent low of $26.31 and slide down towards $26.00 which is also coincide with it's 200 days moving average.

Failing to hold on to this support level would be super Bearish!
I think
price could  see further selling down pressure and continue to slide down towards 25.00 then 24.50 and below .

14 June 2018
TA wise Looks rather bearish !
It has broken down 100 days moving average and continue to slide further down with high volume.

Short term wise, I think it may continue to go down to revisit 26.28 then $24.95 with extension to 24.38.

Not a call to buy or sell.

I think similar chart patterns are also reflected on the other 2 local bank counters.

Please do your own due diligence.

The 3 local bank counters are having quite similar chart patterns as shown on the daily candlestick chart patterns.

All 3 counter current price are trading below its 20, 50 & 100 days Moving average.
Looks rather bearish!

OCBC Bank:

It has experienced a Gap down on 30th May 2018 from the previous closing price of $12.99 to touch the low of $12.51 before manage to close slightly higher at $12.66 price level.

The current price of $12.53 is staying slightly above its 200 days moving average at about $12.36 level. Breaking down of $12.36 level , it would be super bearish and may likely continue to slide down to test $12.25 then $11.90 with extension to $11.40.

DBS :

Similarly for DBS , it is having a Gap down scenario on 30th May 2018 whereby the price went down to touch the low of $28.140 before closing slightly higher at $28.23 level as compare to previous day  closing price of $29.15 level.

Looks rather bearish and it may continue to go lower to test $28.14 then $$27.60 with extension to $26.30.

UOB:

It has gone down to touch the low of $28.16 before closing slightly higher at $28.36 price level as compare to the previous day closing price of $29.29 .

This is rather bearish and the price may likely to go lower to test $28.00 then $27.45 with extension to $26.00.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.


Some discussion about the recent selling down:

Any reason u can think of to cause these drags on all 3 banks after reporting excellent results???

• Like
 
• Reply
 
• about 8 hours ago

Sporeshare

Reply to @AllenYip : I think is kind of selling after result . Moreover bank counter are trading at P/B 1.4-1.6 seems expensive. The correction is healthy.. I think any short rebound due to Dow overnight +219 it might be a GD opportunity to exit /lock in profit. Pls dyodd

• Like
 
• Reply
 
• 17 minutes ago

limchris8

Reply to @AllenYip : The answer is simple. Fund managers pushing up bank stocks or any stock prices are not here for charity. They would not wait for ordinary investors to take profit before them. As bank stocks reached few 52-week highs, it was natural to take profit thereby causing corrections. Besides, there are too many uncertainties/volatility this year. It is wise to take money off the table. With nice capital gains & dividend, why shouldn't they take profit? Furthermore, the reporting season for banks is over. Wait till the next reporting season, the games will repeat again..

Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited provides financial services in Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Greater China, other parts of the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company's Global Consumer/Private Banking segment provides a range of products and services to individuals, including checking accounts, and savings and fixed deposits; housing and other personal loans; credit cards; wealth management products consisting of unit trusts, bancassurance products, and structured deposits; and brokerage services. This segment also offers investment advice and portfolio management, estate and trust planning, and wealth structuring services for high net worth individuals. Its Global Corporate/Investment Banking segment provides project financing, overdrafts, trade financing, and deposit accounts; fee-based services, such as cash management and custodian services; and investment banking services, including financing solutions, syndicated loans and advisory services, corporate finance services for initial public offerings, secondary fund-raising, and takeovers and mergers, as well as customized and structured equity-linked financing services. It serves corporates, public sector, and small and medium enterprises. The company's Global Treasury and Markets segment is involved in the foreign exchange activities, money market operations, and fixed income and derivatives trading, as well as provision of structured treasury products and financial solutions. Its OCBC Wing Hang segment offers commercial banking, consumer financing, share brokerage, and insurance services. The company’s Insurance segment provides fund management services, and life and general insurance products. Its Others segment is involved in property and investment holding activities. As of May 7, 2018, the company operated a network of 590 branches and representative offices in 18 countries and regions. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Singapore.

 DBS Group Holdings Ltd, an investment holding company, provides commercial banking and financial services in Singapore, Hong Kong, rest of Greater China, South and Southeast Asia, and internationally. It operates through Consumer Banking/Wealth Management, Institutional Banking, Treasury Markets, and Others segments. The Consumer Banking/Wealth Management segment offers banking and related financial services, including current and savings accounts, fixed deposits, loans and home finance, cards, payments, investment, and insurance products for individual customers. The Institutional Banking segment provides financial services and products for bank and non-bank financial institutions, government-linked companies, large corporates, and small and medium sized businesses. Its products and services comprise short-term working capital financing and specialized lending; cash management, trade finance, and securities and fiduciary services; treasury and markets products; and corporate finance and advisory banking, as well as capital markets solutions. The Treasury Markets segment is involved in structuring, market-making, and trading in a range of treasury products. The Others segment offers stock broking and Islamic banking services. The company operates approximately 280 branches across 18 markets. DBS Group Holdings Ltd was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Singapore.

 United Overseas Bank Limited provides financial products and services. The company’s Group Retail segment provides deposits, insurance, card, wealth management, investment, and loan and trade financing products for personal and small enterprise customers. Its Group Wholesale Banking segment provides financing, trade, cash management, capital markets solutions, and advisory and treasury products and services. The company’s Global Markets segment offers foreign exchange, interest rate, credit, commodities, equities, and structured investment products; and manages funds and liquidity. Its Other segment provides investment management, property, and insurance services. The company has a network of approximately 500 offices in 19 countries and territories in the Asia Pacific, Europe, and North America. The company was formerly known as United Chinese Bank and changed its name to United Overseas Bank Limited in 1965. United Overseas Bank Limited was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Singapore.

SGX

I am waiting for it to go down to revisit $7.00 but seems like market doens't want it to come down!

Have been monitoring this counter seeing it sliding down from a high of $8.50 to a low of $7.07.
Dividend of 28 cents for the past five years, yield of 4% would be nice to have if price is trading at $7.00 and below.

Let's see if market will bring it down to $7.00 again!
I think patience is needed for the right price to appear.

From TA point of view, it is still on a downtrend mode .

The current price of 7.17 is trading below its 20, 50, 100 & 200 days moving average, this is rather bearish.

I think price may likely move up to retest 7.23 level which is also the 20 days moving average.
Reclaiming of this 20MA and staying above would be quite positive.

Failing which, it may continue to retest the recent low of 7.05. Breaking down of 7.05 with high volume that may continue to see the price sliding down towards 7.00 then 6.80 level.

This counter is currently under my watchlist.
I am thinking to slowly accumulate if price goes below $7.00.
I think value is creeping up with a yield of 4% which is quite good for a nice dividend income.
It might be a good idea for me to use DCA .
I think overtime, this counter would still be around as it is the only Stock exchange authority for the local market.

NAV of 0.949.
Trailing EPS of 34.1 cents.
I think PE is about 21x.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.

Trade/invest base on your own decision.

Singapore Exchange Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates an integrated securities exchange and derivatives exchange in Singapore and related clearing houses. It operates through Equities and Fixed Income; Derivatives; and Market Data and Connectivity segments. The company provides issuer, securities trading and clearing, post trade, membership and collateral management, derivatives trading and clearing, and market data and connectivity services. It also offers counterparty guarantee, and depository and related services for securities transactions; bond trading services; front-line regulatory functions; and computer services and software maintenance services, as well as consultancy services. In addition, the company provides and distributes bulk freight market indices and information; and operates regulated freight derivatives trading facility and electricity market. Singapore Exchange Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Singapore.

SingTel

Looks like we may see a replay of the same chart patterns being happened in 2012.
The price was being pushed down near closing yesterday to close lower than previous low of 3.10.

We may likely see the price moving up to reclaim $3.10 level and rises higher from the current level.
Yield is getting attractive now!
Please dyodd.


Are you loosing sleep with your SingTel invested share price keep heading lower?
The whole telco industry sector has been overly punished with the incoming of the 4th operator that may begin its operation on Dec 2018.

I think market has overly reacted and the price has been driven into oversold territories.

I think wise income investor may view this as a golden opportunity to slowly accumulate.

Plus point:

I think SingTel has a stronger balance sheet, stronger free cash flow and it pays out a fraction of its earnings as dividends to shareholders.

If the price on a good investment goes lower, I think it is presenting a good value .

Current price trading at $3.12 , Yield at 5.6% base on annual dividend of 17.5 cents. 

It is looking rather attractive..

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.

23rd May 2018
SingTel - Chart wise, it is rather weak and may likely continue to trend lower.
The current price of $3.34 is staying below its 20,50,100 & 200 days moving average. This is rather bearish.

Short term wise, I think it may likely move down to retest the recent low of 3.30.


Breaking down of 3.30 with high volume that would be super bearish and may likely see it slide further down towards 3.19 with extension to 3.08.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.



18 May 2018 - long time didn't see company buying back share ! Looks positive!

Today saw the company bought back 294000+ share between $3.42 to $3.43.

http://infopub.sgx.com/Apps?A=COW_CorpAnnouncement_Content&B=AnnouncementToday&F=H1UR0B3BPABL4KB0&H=b2e5d5b80b08f4cc5d2922ce03a9263e1a932c75229c687d33fd403eb23c2132


Singtel posts record full-year earnings on NetLink Trust divestment and strong core business 

Financial year ended 31 March 2018




 Record net profit of S$5.45 billion, including divestment gains from NetLink Trust  Operating revenue up 5% to S$17.53 billion

 Strong core and digital businesses drive growth




 Free cash flow up 18% to S$3.61 billion on strong operating cash flow

 Q4 revenue stable and net profit down 19% on weaker associates’ earnings

 Proposed final dividend per share of 10.7 cents; total dividend per share of 17.5 cents

DIVIDENDS

The Board is recommending a final ordinary dividend per share of 10.7 cents, bringing the total ordinary dividend per share for the year to 17.5 cents, representing a payout of approximately S$2.86 billion.

Barring unforeseen circumstances, the Group expects to maintain its ordinary dividends of 17.5 cents per share for the next two financial years and thereafter, will revert to the payout of between 60% and 75% of underlying net profit.

“These results reflect the strong execution of our digital transformation strategy in both our core and new digital businesses. Optus gained market share in Australia underscoring its network and content strategy while our ICT and digital businesses now account for 24% of revenue, with digital marketing arm Amobee achieving growth and positive EBITDA for the year,” said Ms Chua Sock Koong, Singtel Group CEO. “We remain focused on what is important to both our consumer and enterprise customers – premium mobile networks, secure high-speed connectivity, innovative products and services, and excellent customer service. Besides strengthening our competitiveness, this allows us to deliver even greater value to customers.”




 Across the region, all of the Group’s regional associates continued to drive growth in data. However, Airtel’s results were impacted by intense competition with very aggressive pricing led by a new player and further aggravated by mandated cuts in mobile termination rates in India. This is despite recording its highest quarterly net customer adds and strong data usage growth in India, and continued positive growth momentum in Africa. Last month, Airtel announced the merger of Indus Towers and Bharti Infratel to create the largest tower company in the world outside of China, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals. Telkomsel’s earnings were impacted by the decline in legacy services and heightened price competition particularly during the SIM card registration implementation. Profit contributions from AIS grew on revenue improvement and cost management. Globe also delivered strong earnings growth due to robust data revenue growth and cost control.

Competition remains intense in India but the right regulatory policies and sector consolidation should lead to a more stable market structure in the mid term. In Indonesia, Telkomsel Singapore Telecommunications Limited 2 of 8 Company registration number: 199201624D continues to expand its network to create significant capacity and grow its digital business.

 To forge new areas of growth, we are accelerating collaborations with our regional associates to build an ecosystem of digital services by leveraging the Group’s strengths and customer base across 21 countries.” Recently announced initiatives include a cross-border payments service to connect the Group’s telco wallets in Asia, and strategic partnerships in the areas of e-payments, e-sports and sports content. The Group’s cash position remains strong.

Free cash flow for the full year rose 18% to S$3.61 billion, and for the quarter grew 5% to S$800 million.




GROUP CONSUMER

 In Australia, Optus gained market share as it successfully differentiated itself through its network and content strategy. For the full year, it added a total of 384,000 new mobile customers and 225,000 new NBN broadband customers.

Revenue grew 3% in the quarter as higher equipment sales and strong customer growth offset lower NBN migration revenues due to NBN’s temporary suspension order while EBITDA declined 5%. Excluding NBN migration revenues, revenue would have grown 6% and EBITDA increased 3%. Mobile service revenue grew 1%, impacted by higher service credits. Postpaid ARPU was affected by an increased mix of SIM-only plans, higher device repayment credits and data price competition. Mass market fixed revenues excluding NBN migration revenues increased 6%.

In Singapore, for the quarter, consumer revenue was down 4% and EBITDA declined 14%. Mobile communications revenue was impacted by voice to data substitution, declines in roaming services and a higher mix of SIM-only plans.

The launch of premium handsets presented an opportunity to increase customer recontracting numbers, strengthen customer relationships and reduce churn. Around 18% of new and recontracting postpaid customers signed up for SIM-only plans during the quarter. Home revenues declined with the cessation of Premier League sublicensing and lower fixed voice usage but was partially mitigated by continued growth in broadband services.

Singtel relaunched its flagship store at Comcentre with state-of-the-art features and integration of online-offline channels to give customers greater ease of use.




In the content space, Group Consumer scored broadcasting rights for all the 2018 FIFA World Cup matches in Singapore and Australia. Optus also secured exclusive Premier League rights for three more seasons, solidifying its position as a leading multi-media entertainment company.

GROUP ENTERPRISE

 Group Enterprise revenue was stable for the quarter as growth in ICT revenues offset the continued erosion of the carriage business. ICT services was boosted by strong contributions from cyber security and cloud services.

Cyber security revenue rose 16% on the back of strong growth in managed security services and momentum in the Asia Pacific region.

In Australia, Optus Business maintained its revenue momentum at 5% growth this quarter, driven by sustained growth in mobile revenue and major ICT contract wins.

GROUP DIGITAL LIFE 

Group Digital Life continued to scale and make progress towards profitability. Revenue grew 54%1 for the quarter with EBITDA at breakeven, lifted by one-off content cost credit and government grants.




In my opinion, SingTel has again shown it ability to grow its business and total revenue for the Full Year rises 4.9% to 17,532m.

Underlying Net profit is down 7.8% ( excluding divestment gains) was 3,544m.

Underlying Net profit if included divestment gain of 1,908m , Up 42.2% to 5,451m.

What an outstanding result.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.