Starhub

It has broken down and hit the Target price indicated on the below mentioned post.

Currently, it is taking a pause and may likely retest the pivot low of $1.82.

Breaking down of 1.82/1.80 would be super Bearish and might see further selling down pressure towards $1.60 with extension to $1.40 level.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Trade/invest base on your own decision.

StarHub - looking through their financial nos, Net Income has been dropping from 370M of 2014 to 238m in 2017.

Dividend has been cut from 20 cents to 16 cents.

The latest 1Q 2018 result also shown a drop of 13% for the Net profit down from 72m to 63m.

Net profit is still dropping and not sure when will we be able to see a good improvement for the company to boost their Net income revenue!

Business Outlook:



➢ Revenue: Maintain service revenue to be 1% to 3% lower YoY

➢ Service EBITDA*: Expect service EBITDA margin to be between 27 - 29% after adoption of SFRS(I) 15

➢ CAPEX: Maintain cash capex to be about 11% of total revenue (excludes spectrum and building payments)

➢ Dividend: Declare an interim quarterly dividend of 4.0 cents per ordinary share for 1Q2018 Intend to pay a quarterly cash dividend of 4.0 cents per ordinary share for FY2018



*Service EBITDA refers to EBITDA less equipment margin (Sales of Equipment less Cost of Equipment)

Free Cash flow has also been drifting lower as reflected on the chart below:

From TA point of view, it is on a long term down trend mode as reflected on the chart.

After going ex-dividend 2 days ago, it has continued to drop lowered from $2.26 to close at $2.18 level. The dropping of 8 cents is more than the 4 cents dividend . This is rather negative.

Short term wise , it is still rather weak and we may see further selling down pressure.
Immediate resistance is at $2.10. Breaking down of $2.10 level with high volume, it may likely continue to slide down further towards $2.00 with extension to 1.91.




Not a call to buy or sell.
Please do your own due diligence.

KepCorp

As mentioned on my earlier post on 29th May, it is on a bearish downtrend mode chart patterns.

 True enough, it has broken down $7.80 follow-by broken down of critical support level at $7.50 level.

Today closed lower at $7.48 plus quite a slightly higher volume doesn't bode well for the price .Looks super Bearish and it may likely move down to test $7.30 then $7.10 with extension to $6.82. 

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.

Oil prices mixed as OPEC warns the market outlook for 2018 is uncertain

• Oil prices pared earlier gains, but volatility subsided to its lowest in weeks as caution builds ahead of a key OPEC meeting.
• OPEC warned there's a high degree of uncertainty hanging over the global oil market this year.
• Saudi Arabia reported that the country increased oil output to a little more than 10 million bpd in May.

(Cnbc.com)

Brent crude futures were down 30 cents, or nearly half a percent, at $76.16 a barrel by 10:24 a.m. ET (1424 GMT), while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 17 cents at $66.27.

Keppel Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the offshore and marine, property, and infrastructure businesses in Singapore, China, Brazil, other Far East and ASEAN countries, and internationally. It constructs, fabricates, and repairs offshore production facilities and drilling rigs, power barges, specialized vessels, and other offshore production facilities; researches and develops deepwater engineering works; engineers, constructs, and fabricates platforms for the oil and gas sector; undertakes shipyard works and other general business activities; and procures equipment and materials for the construction of offshore production facilities. The company is also involved in the trading and installation of hardware, industrial, marine, and building related products; provision of leasing services; sourcing, fabricating, and supply of steel components; ship repairing, shipbuilding, and conversion activities; marine contracting and ship owning business; painting, blasting, and process and sale of slag; property investment, management, and development activities; fund management; golf and hotel ownership and operation; development of marina lifestyle and residential properties; trading of construction materials; development of district heating and cooling systems; electricity generation and supply, and general wholesale trade businesses; purchase and sale of gaseous fuels; and trading of communication systems and accessories. In addition, it offers jacking systems, and heavy-lift equipment and related services; project management and procurement, towage, financial, real estate investment trust management, logistics and supply chain, warehousing and distribution, data center facilities management, travel agency, and metal fabrication services; housing services for marine workers; and technical consultancy for ship design and engineering works, as well as solid waste treatment solutions. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Singapore.

M1

This is the 3rd time it has hit the support at $1.68. With several attempt hitting the support level , it may soon breakdown and goes down to revisit 1.59 level with extension to 1.50/1.495.

Dividend of 11 cents yield of  6.55% looks attractive.

I would rather wait to see if $1.68 is it able to hold or not. Failing which , we would be an opportunity to get it at a much cheaper price.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.

Trade/invest base on your own decision.

M1 Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile and fixed communications services to consumers and corporate customers in Singapore. It offers various voice, data, and value-added postpaid and prepaid mobile services on 4.5G/long term evolution advanced and 3G/high speed packet access; and international direct dial services to mobile and fixed-line customers. The company also trades in wholesale voice minutes with other international and local service providers, as well as provides dark fiber services to carriers and data centers. In addition, it offers various fiber broadband service plans, including fixed voice and other value-added services for residential customers; and a suite of mobile and fixed services, including symmetrical connectivity solutions, managed services, cloud solutions, cybersecurity solutions, Internet of Things, and data center services for corporate customers. Further, the company is involved in the retail sale of telecommunication equipment and accessories; provision of customer and remittances services; licensing of intellectual property rights; and provision of mobile malware detection solutions. It serves approximately 2.03 million customers through 11 M1 shop outlets and distributors, as well as online. The company was formerly known as MobileOne Limited and changed its name to M1 Limited in 2010. M1 Limited was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Singapore.

SembCorp Marine

Sembcorp Marine posted 1Q 2018 gross profit of $43 million and operating profit of $20 million. Net profit for the quarter was $5.3 million, compared with $37 million in 1Q 2017 (restated for accounting changes on adoption of SFRS (I)).

 The decrease was mainly due to the one-off gain on disposal of Cosco Shipyard Co., Ltd recorded in 1Q 2017; lower contributions from Offshore Platforms; offset by higher profit recognition on rigs delivery in 1Q 2018 on adoption of SFRS(I) 15.

Excluding the effects on the adoption of SFRS(I) 15, net loss for 1Q 2018 would have been $33 million.

Looking through their 1Q2018 reuslt, Net profit is down 86% to $5.3m,.

NAV of $1.157.

EPS is down 86% to 0.25 cents versus 1.77 cents .

PE is rather high at current price of $2.08 that is a PE of 46x ( estimated full year PE of 4.5 cents).
The current price of $2.08 is running ahead of its financial fundamentals.

 Net debt remained stable, with net debt to equity at 1.14 times as at 31 March 2018 compared with 1.13 times as at end FY2017. Cash flow from operating activities (before working capital changes) was $67 million in 1Q 2018. Cash generated from operations was $31 million, mainly due to working capital for ongoing projects, offset by receipts from ongoing and completed projects Outlook Global exploration and production (E&P) spending trend continue to improve due to firmer oil prices in the first quarter of 2018.

However, recovery in rig orders is expected to take some time as most of the drilling segments remain oversupplied, with day rates and utilisation under pressure. The offshore production segment has improved with the FID of several projects.

We continue to respond to an encouraging pipeline of enquiries and tenders for innovative engineering solutions. Repairs and upgrades business is increasingly competitive, although demand for LNG carriers and cruise ships remains strong.

Regulations on ballast water treatment requirements coming into force in the foreseeable future will further underpin the potential of this segment. However, the offshore segment for upgrades and repairs remains weak.

  The overall industry outlook remains challenging. Despite improvement in E&P CAPEX spending outlook, it will take some time for this to translate into new orders. Margins remain compressed with intensifying competition. Based on existing orders, overall business volume and activity is expected to remain low, and the trend of negative operating profit may continue. We continue to actively manage our costs to align with business volume. We continue to prudently manage our cash flows through securing projects with milestone progress payments to minimise working capital requirements.

Sembcorp Marine will continue to actively pursue the conversion of enquiries into new orders, execute existing orders efficiently and position itself well for the industry recovery.

TA wise, looks rather bearish!

Breaking down of $2.06 may see it sliding further down towards testing $1.88 price level with extension to 1.76.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.

 Sembcorp Marine Ltd, an investment holding company, provides offshore and marine engineering solutions worldwide. The company engages in the turnkey design, engineering, procurement, construction, and commissioning of offshore newbuilding and conversions, FSOs, FPSOs, FDPSOs, FPUs, MOPUs, gas terminals, FLNGs, FSRUs, jack-ups, semi-submersibles, drill ships, SSP solutions, TLPs, and SPARs. It also engages in the repair, refurbishment, retrofitting, life-extension, upgrading, and conversion of vessels, marine and offshore structures, LNG and LPG gas carriers, cruise ships, ferries, mega-yachts, floating production vessels, MODUs, tankers, containers, and cargo ships, as well as offers jumboization and dejumboization solutions. In addition, the company offers afloat and emergency repair, underwater cleaning and repair, main engine maintenance and repair, steel and pipe work, electrical and instrumentation repair, mechanical and motor rewind repair, tank cleaning, sludge and oily waste disposal, staging work, hydro jetting and hydro/vacuum blasting, riding crew and voyage repair, specialized workshop repair and reconditioning, vessel towage and port clearance arrangement, specialists service and navigation, automation, safety, and fire protection services. Further, it offers offshore platform solutions, such as integrated process; production, riser, and drilling; wellhead, power generation, manifold, and accommodation platforms; and wind-farm substations, as well as topside modules fabrication, installation, and integration. Additionally, it designs and builds sophisticated, specialized, gas value chain, ferry, RoPax, cruise, renewable energy and offshore support, naval support and security, and research and scientific survey vessels. The company was formerly known as Jurong Shipyard Ltd and changed its name to Sembcorp Marine Ltd in 2000. The company was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Singapore. Sembcorp Marine Ltd. is a subsidiary of Sembcorp Industries Ltd.

Best World

Looking through thier 1Q2018 result, Net profit is down 40.3% to $5.7m .
Total revenue is also down 43.3% to $25.3m,

EPS is down 40.7% from 1.77 cents to 1.05 cents.

This could be the reason why the share price has tank from $1.56 to a low of $1.22 .

NAV of 24.74 cents.
P/B is 5.17X , seems quite expensive.

Presuming a full year EPS of 4.5 cents , PE of 22.2x seems expensive.

Cash flow seems quite healthy as they have managed to increased their Net Cash flow from Operating activities.

Overview

In line with management’s commentary in Section 10 of the Group’s last results announcement, Group Revenue for 1Q2018 was 43.3% lower compared to the same period last year, primarily due to minimal export to China as the Group commenced its conversion from the Export segment to the new China Wholesale segment.

Quarter-on-quarter, Gross Profit margin remains stable at 69.3% while Net Profit Margin improved to 22.8% in 1Q2018. This was mainly due to the following factors:

• Other Operating Income which the Group charges its China Agent for market support activities, product trainings and IT services as a function of the Agent’s sales for the 1Q2018, increased by 165.7% to $3.9 million;

• In line with revenue decrease in 1Q2018, Distribution Costs which comprises freelance commissions, annual convention expenses and other sales related costs decreased by 32.1%;

• Administrative Expenses for the Group decreased from $8.9 million in 1Q2017 to $6.6 million in 1Q2018 as a result of lower professional fees, management and staff costs as well as lower amortisation expenses;

• Net Other Losses of $0.2 million in 1Q2018 was mainly attributable to Unrealised Foreign Exchange Losses recorded during the period due to revaluation of the Group’s financial assets denominated in US Dollars from a depreciating USD as well as Unrealised Foreign Exchange losses recorded by our Indonesia Subsidiary as Indonesia Rupiah weakened against the Singapore Dollar and offsetting the reversal of unaccounted cash written off previously announced in February 2015, concerning BWL Health & Sciences Inc. of $0.7 million. The amount was in respect of tax payments for which had been finalised and paid;

• The Group’s Income Tax Expenses decreased from $2.5 million in 1Q2017 to $1.4 million in 1Q2018 due to a decrease in Profit Before Tax recorded by the Group.

As a result, Profit Attributable to Owners of the Parent Company declined 40.3% from $9.6 million in 1Q2017 to $5.7 million in 1Q2018.

Outlook:

Although the Group’s top and bottom line has been impacted in 1Q2018 due to the conversion of its business model from Export to China Wholesale and since actual demand for the Group’s brand offerings in China is still growing, barring any unforeseen circumstances, management is cautiously optimistic that the China Wholesale segment will contribute to the growth in the bottom line for the Group in 2H2018.

Factors that may affect the Group’s performance in the next reporting period and for the next 12 months are as follows:

• To set the Group’s growth path moving forward, management constantly explores M&A opportunities. In the course of assessing these opportunities, regardless of success or not, professional fees and other related expenses may be incurred; 16

• Higher Administrative expenses for FY2018 compared to FY2017 due to an increase in management and staff in certain Regional Centres (RCs), depreciation expenses related to the Group’s Tuas facility and machineries/equipment for the factory and establishment of our Changsha RC;

• As strategies implemented are not expected to gain traction immediately, management is cautiously optimistic that revenue from Taiwan will be stable when compared to FY2017, primarily led by events, campaigns and product launches in 2H2018.

• The conversion of Export to the new China Wholesale segment is expected to extend into 2Q2018 as export agent continues to deplete its inventory. Revenue from the Export Segment in 2Q2018 is also expected to be lower than that of 2Q2017. The Group’s China subsidiary BWCP may be able to register its first revenue contribution for the China Wholesale segment in 2H2018;

• Upon conversion to China Wholesale, some or all of the following items, amongst others may be affected: 1. Increase in Revenue and Gross Profit as a result of revenue recognition at a price higher than export price; 2. Increase in Administrative Expenses due to management and staff costs as well as lease expenses of our new Changsha RC; and 3. Decline in Other Operating Income due to lower service fees charged to the Group’s Export Agent, and

• Fluctuating currencies of key markets which the Group operates in against the SGD may positively or negatively impact the Group’s performance. Management will undertake measures to mitigate any potential risks the Group is exposed to. Other ongoing factors that affect the Group’s performance include, timeline required for product registration in various markets, natural disasters, local direct selling regulations, product regulations and market competition.


TA wise, it is on a down trend mode chart patterns!

The current price of $1.28 is staying below its 20, 50, 100 & 200 days moving average, this is rather bearish.

Short term wise, looks like it may go down to re-test 1.22.
Breaking down of 1.22 with high volume, that would be super bearish and may see the price sliding down further towards 1.01 price level.

The estimated PE of 22.2x seems expensive, I would rather wait for a reasonable price level of PE 15-16 x that is 70-72 cents.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.

YZJ Ship

A nice rebound has taken place after hitting the low of 90 cents and rises to touch $1.04.
It has since taking a breather and it may likely retest the critical level at 1.00.

Breaking down of $1.00 would be rather bearish and may likely see further selling down pressure.
Immediate resistance is at 1.04 and the next resistance level is at 1.08.
The support would be at 95.5 follow-by 90 cents.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.



30 May 2018

Dow jumps more than 300 points after banks rebound; small caps hit new record.

The company bought back 5m share at 90-91.5 cents, looks like we may see a strong rebound today especially with Dow gaining 300+ points overnight.

• The Dow Jones industrial average rose more than 300 points, with Boeing, Chevron and Home Depot leading the blue-chip stocks higher. The Russell 2000 hit a new high.
• The euro recovers much of its previous losses with a 1.1 percent climb against the greenback to $1.166.
• An uptick in rates push the big banks upward, with Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and Wells Fargo all finishing up more than 1 percent.
• Crude oil futures settled higher Wednesday, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) up $1.48, or 2.22 percent. (Cnbc.com)

Chart wise, we have witnessed the price Gap down from 95 cents to touch the low of 90 cents . It has manage to bounce-off from this level and closed higher at 92.5 cents .



Looks like we are seeing a hammer shape candlestick bar is appearing on the chart, seem like bull is able to take control of the situation.

Short term wise, we may likely see a reversal play taking place it it is able to overcome 97.5 cents and rises back to $1.00 and above .

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.

NAV of $1.29.
Dividend of 4.5 cents

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (Holdings) Ltd., an investment holding company, operates in the shipbuilding activities. The company operates through Shipbuilding, Investments, Trading, and Others segments. It produces a range of commercial vessels, such as containerships, dry bulk carriers, oil tankers, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers. The company also engages in the production and processing of steel structures. In addition, it facilitates the sale and export of ships for the ship builder; trades in ship related equipment and shipbuilding related materials/supplies; provides microcredit to enterprises and individuals; invests in held-to-maturity financial assets; and supplies marine equipment and materials. Further, the company is involved in the ship demolition and vessel owning activities. It primarily serves ship owners in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Greece, Norway, Argentina, Turkey, Bulgaria, Poland, Australia, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, India, Thailand, Bangladesh, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, etc. The company was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Jingjiang, China.