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Saturday, January 23, 2016

ComfortDelGro

Comfort DelGro - 24th January 2016

Comfort DelGro - 24th January 2016

Comfort DelGro has been on a downtrend mode after hitting the high of $3.05 on 6th January 2016 and head lower to close at $2.88 on 22nd January 2016.
The current price of $2.88 is hovering below both 14SMA & 25SMA lines which is generally quite bearish.



Also MACD indicator are pointing  downwards which may provide further indication that the price may continue to head lower to re-test the previous low of $2.79.

Breaking down of $2.79 with high volume that may send the price to head further South towards $2.58. 

Any rebound will be a good options to consider to take profit or exit.
(trade base on your own decision)

Friday, January 22, 2016

KepCorp

Update - Keppel Corp - 25th January 2016

There is no sign of reversal or U-turn yet as indicated from the chart.


Today price gap up to $5.11 but closed lower at $4.81 plus high volume , this is rather bearish.
Short term it may continue to go down to test the previous low of $4.64. Breaking down of $4.64 with high volume that may drive the share price to head further towards $4.50 then $4.00 .
(trade base on your own decision)


Keppel Corp - 23rd January 2016

KepCorp is still on a downtrend mode as reflected on the chart, The current price of $5.02 is hovering below both 14SMA & 25SMA lines which is rather negative.



With overnight Dow went up 210 points + oil prices spike with 9% , Monday may see a gap up/strong rebound . Any rebound will be a good options/opportunities to exit or minimize loss.
It may re-visit $5.24 then $5.50.

Do not think that the spike in oil price is due to a sudden increase in demand or a drop of supply.
Generally the whole oil situation is geared towards over supply. With US I think being self- sufficient to produce shale oil to cover their own oil demand and Iran supplying more oil in the context of this oil saga( over supply) .With Saudi continue to supply the same volume/production of oil, it is not going to get any better. I think many people are buying Oil Tanker to store the oversupply oils.
With China economy not so rosy , the whole situation may get worse.

Please trade extra cautiously.
(trade base on your own decision)



SingPost

Update :  Singapore Post - 27th January 2016

Today we have witnessed the free fall of the price from the high of $1.465 and closed lower at $1.39. The volume is also quite high.This is super bearish.

Short term wise it may be due for a technical rebound as the prices has been driven into an oversold territories.


It is still on a downtrend mode and even if a technical rebound may happen it is still being geared towards down side.
Further breaking down of $1.38 may likely see the share price head lower towards $1.30 with extension to $1.25.

At $1.25(yield about 5.6%) Fair value may set in and hopefully we may see more people coming in to accumulate to stabilize the price from falling further.

(trade base on your own decision)


Update : Singapore Post - 26th January 2016

SingPost has again went down to touch $1.45 and closed at $1.455 today, this is generally rather negative.

Looks like $1.45 may not be able to hold much longer. MACD are still pointing downwards which may be a tell tale sign the the price may continue to head lower.
Breaking down of $1.45 may see it trend lower towards $1.40 then $1.305.
(trade base on your own decision)



Singapore Post - 23rd January 2016

SingPost has continued to drop further as reflected on the chart with the current price of $1.48 staying way below both 14SMA & 25SMA lines. This is generally very negative.

From the chart you can notice that they were several points where the breaking down occurred as being drawn with the Orange lines marking. Many breaking downs had been driving the share price to head further South. With both the SMA lines trending in a nice and orderly manner direction together with the falling prices , this is viewed as super bearish.



The current downtrend mode so far has yet to show any sign of reversal/U-turn.It has tried to do a counter trend reversal as reflected with the Purple line marking but failed and dropped down on the next Long Black candle stick.  Looks like it may continue to trend lower. Remember to follow the trend, the trend is your friend. Going against the trend may end up heading with the wrong direction and a big hole in your pockets.

Since the current situation is being driven into an oversold territories , a technical rebound may happen anytime. Any rebound will be a good options /opportunities to consider to exit or minimize loss.

If the rebound is not strong enough , it may fail and eventually will be re-testing the low of $1.45 and breaking down may see it head lower towards $1.40 and below.
( trade base on your own decision)

City Dev

City Development - 23rd January 2016

City Dev has been experiencing a selling down from the high of $7.82 on 30th Dec 2015 and close lower at $6.75 on 22nd Jan 2016. The price has been driven to a oversold situation and may expect to see a rebound any moment.


Both MACD & RSI are also pointing to an oversold territories that may be due for a rebound soon.

Due to Dow overnight closed positively , expect to see a surge in price for City Dev come Monday.
It may move up to test $7.00. If the driving force is strong enough it may breakout $7.00 and head higher towards $7.28. These are short term expectation. STI mkt is generally weak and any rebound may be a good choice to take profit or to minimize your loss.
(trade base on your own decision)

Thursday, January 21, 2016

M1

Update - M1 - 23rd January 2016

M1 has again experienced another selling down on last Fri - 22nd January 2016. The selling down is way to overdone. Short term is due for a rebound . Friday again has touched the new low of $2.24 and managed to close higher at $2.28.


Both MACD & RSI are also being driven to an oversold territories which is indicating that a rebound is imminent.
Look for a strong rebound to move up to test $2.44 then $2.51 if the momentum is strong enough.
Of course, the trend is still downtrend. Once has to do their own home work and trade extra cautiously.


M1 - 21st January 2016

M1 from TA point of view is on a downtrend mode as reflected on the chart.
The current price of #2.32 is hovering below both 14SMA & 25SMA lines which is generally quite negative.


From the chart you can notice that there were 3 Black Candle sticks /black soldiers causing the price to slight down from $2.55 to $2.29 within the span of 3 days. Th dropped down is viewed as quite overly extended. Short term wise it is overdue for a rebound.
Also both MACD & RSI are showing sign of oversold that may be indicating that a rebound may be happening anytime.
Co-incidentally ,STI is also oversold and is now approaching the support level at 2520 points that may see a technical rebound soon.

The price of $2.32 is about PE 12.21 times (EPS of 19 cents) which is viewed as quite a good price to accumulate given the yield is about 6.4% per annum ( 15.3 cents dividend).
The final dividend of 8.3 cents had just been declared and may help to support the price from sliding further.
Good time or during recession people will still need a Mobile phone . Therefore, this defensive counter is quite resilient and not really affected much by the economy.

I reckon that the short term target price of $2.56 is possible base on PE 13.5 times.
Long term target price should be somewhere around $2.85 ( about PE 15 times) of which I view is quite reasonable.

(Trade base on your own decision)

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

SPH

SPH - 20th January 2016

SPH has been on a continuous downtrend mode after going ex.dividend on 9th December 2015 .
From the chart we can see that the price has been falling from the high of $3.96 on 31st December 2015 and close the critical support level at $3.50.


From the past 3 days trading it has been hitting $3.50 support level and move up or stay at $3.50 level.
This is happening could be due to the company buying back share to support the price from falling down. As announced from SGX website the company today just bought back 500,000 shares between $3.51 to $3.52 per share.

The current price is staying way below both 14SMA & 25SMA lines which is rather negative.

Also both MACD & RSI are pointing downwards which may provide further indication that the share price may continue to trend lower.

Looks like $3.50 level may not be able to hold long. As it has been continuously re-tested and may soon breaking down and head lower towards $3.20 then $3.00.
Looking back at the historical chart pattern , there seems to be not much support/challenges to prevent the price from falling from $3.50 to $3.20.


(trade base on your own decision)