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Friday, January 22, 2016

City Dev

City Development - 23rd January 2016

City Dev has been experiencing a selling down from the high of $7.82 on 30th Dec 2015 and close lower at $6.75 on 22nd Jan 2016. The price has been driven to a oversold situation and may expect to see a rebound any moment.


Both MACD & RSI are also pointing to an oversold territories that may be due for a rebound soon.

Due to Dow overnight closed positively , expect to see a surge in price for City Dev come Monday.
It may move up to test $7.00. If the driving force is strong enough it may breakout $7.00 and head higher towards $7.28. These are short term expectation. STI mkt is generally weak and any rebound may be a good choice to take profit or to minimize your loss.
(trade base on your own decision)

Thursday, January 21, 2016

M1

Update - M1 - 23rd January 2016

M1 has again experienced another selling down on last Fri - 22nd January 2016. The selling down is way to overdone. Short term is due for a rebound . Friday again has touched the new low of $2.24 and managed to close higher at $2.28.


Both MACD & RSI are also being driven to an oversold territories which is indicating that a rebound is imminent.
Look for a strong rebound to move up to test $2.44 then $2.51 if the momentum is strong enough.
Of course, the trend is still downtrend. Once has to do their own home work and trade extra cautiously.


M1 - 21st January 2016

M1 from TA point of view is on a downtrend mode as reflected on the chart.
The current price of #2.32 is hovering below both 14SMA & 25SMA lines which is generally quite negative.


From the chart you can notice that there were 3 Black Candle sticks /black soldiers causing the price to slight down from $2.55 to $2.29 within the span of 3 days. Th dropped down is viewed as quite overly extended. Short term wise it is overdue for a rebound.
Also both MACD & RSI are showing sign of oversold that may be indicating that a rebound may be happening anytime.
Co-incidentally ,STI is also oversold and is now approaching the support level at 2520 points that may see a technical rebound soon.

The price of $2.32 is about PE 12.21 times (EPS of 19 cents) which is viewed as quite a good price to accumulate given the yield is about 6.4% per annum ( 15.3 cents dividend).
The final dividend of 8.3 cents had just been declared and may help to support the price from sliding further.
Good time or during recession people will still need a Mobile phone . Therefore, this defensive counter is quite resilient and not really affected much by the economy.

I reckon that the short term target price of $2.56 is possible base on PE 13.5 times.
Long term target price should be somewhere around $2.85 ( about PE 15 times) of which I view is quite reasonable.

(Trade base on your own decision)

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

SPH

SPH - 20th January 2016

SPH has been on a continuous downtrend mode after going ex.dividend on 9th December 2015 .
From the chart we can see that the price has been falling from the high of $3.96 on 31st December 2015 and close the critical support level at $3.50.


From the past 3 days trading it has been hitting $3.50 support level and move up or stay at $3.50 level.
This is happening could be due to the company buying back share to support the price from falling down. As announced from SGX website the company today just bought back 500,000 shares between $3.51 to $3.52 per share.

The current price is staying way below both 14SMA & 25SMA lines which is rather negative.

Also both MACD & RSI are pointing downwards which may provide further indication that the share price may continue to trend lower.

Looks like $3.50 level may not be able to hold long. As it has been continuously re-tested and may soon breaking down and head lower towards $3.20 then $3.00.
Looking back at the historical chart pattern , there seems to be not much support/challenges to prevent the price from falling from $3.50 to $3.20.


(trade base on your own decision)


Tuesday, January 19, 2016

SingTel

SingTel - 19th January 2016

SingTel is on a downtrend mode as reflected on the chart. The current price of $3.50 is staying below both 14SMA & 25SMA lines which is generally quite bearish.

On 21st Dec 2015 SingTel went Ex.Dividend of 6.8 cents and closed lower at $3.67. In fact the previous day high was at $3.76 and the price has been corrected more than the declared dividend.



It had since continued to trend lower and touched $3.40 on 8th January 2016 with high volume. This is generally viewed as quite negative. Also both MACD & RSI are pointing downwards which may provide further indication that the price may continue to head lower to $3.27 then $3.12.

$3.70 is the Resistance level and $3.40 is the current support level.

If it is able to cross over $3.70 with ease then perhaps this may reverse this downtrend and head higher.

If not, Breaking down of $3.40 with high volume that may send the price further down to $3.12.
(trade base on your own decision)

Sunday, January 17, 2016

Olam Intl

Olam Intl - 17th January 2016

Olam Intl has broken down the critical support level at $1.68 on 15th January and close lower at $1.665. This is rather bearish. the current price is staying below both 14SMA & 25SMA lines and may see further weakness for the price to head lower.

Also both MACD & RSI are pointing downwards which may be a tell tale sign that the price may continue to trend lower.



From the chart we can see that there is not much major support to stop the price to fall from $1.665 to $1.46 that was tested in Jan 2014.

Short term wise STI market is gearing more towards down side / bearish mode and it may be possible for Olam Intl to re-test the low of $1.46 again.
(trade base on your own decision)

Wilmar Intl

Wilmar Intl - 17th January 2016

Wilmar Intl on 15th January 2016 has broken down the support level at $2.74 and close lower at $2.67. This is generally rather negative.
The current price of $2.67 is staying below both 14SMA & 25SMA lines which is rather bearish and may see further weakness for the price to head lower.


Both MACD & RSI are also pointing downwards which may provide further indication that the price may head lower to test the next recent low at $2.46.

$2.46 was the historical price dated somewhere back in Nov 2008. If $2.46 has been taken down then it may continue to trend lower towards $2.00.

(trade base on your own decision)