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Saturday, January 16, 2016

SMRT

SMRT - 17th January 2016

SMRT is on a downtrend mode as reflected from the chart.
The current price of $1.365 is hovering below 14SMA & 25SMA lines which is generally quite negative. It has broken down the support level at $1.38 which is rather crucial and me see further selling down pressure.



Both MACD & RSI are pointing towards downtrend mode which may see further weakness for the price to head lower towards $1.335.

Breaking down of $1.335 with great volume may it price head further South towards $1.29 then $1.20.

Current market trend is gearing towards down trend mode. STI has just broken the critical level of 2700 points and may continue to trend lower towards the next support level at 2520 points.

The market trend is more favourable for shortist .

Shortist may camp over night at $1.335 to wait for this price to be taken out. Once $1.335 has been taken down they can expect to book a profit and let the weakness of the price to fall towards $1.29 then $1.20...

(trade base on your own decision)




Friday, January 15, 2016

KepCorp,SembCorp & SembMarine

Keppel Corp , Semb Corp & Semb Marine

With oil price heading lower and breaking $30 per barrel , it is going to be super bearish and indirectly affecting the future contracts and revenue for Rigs builder  such as Keppel Corp, Semb Marine and Semb Corp Industries.

As reflected on the chart, Keppel Corp has been dropping quite furious from the high of $6.55 to a low of $4.84 within a span of 10 trading days. The price is hovering way below both SMA lines such as 20SMA,50SMA & 100SMA lines which is generally very bearish/negative.



From TA point of view , it is on a down trend mode. With both MACD & RSI driven into a oversold situation , short term wise it is overdue for a technical rebounce. Whether the rebounce is going to be strong or not that also depends quite a lot on oil prices and the China market.

If after the re-bounced and again the price dropping down and breaking down of $4.80 support level that may send the price lower towards $4.50 then $4.00 is imminent.

Quite similar pattern can be seen for Semb Corp Industries from the chart below.:
 Short term wise it may continue to trend lower towards $2.00 then $1.80.

Semb Marine is also in the same situation like Keppel Corp & Semb Corp Industries as reflected from the chart .



It may continue to trend lower towards $1.20 then $1.00 soon.

The situation now is that the oil price is not going to get any better. It may continue to drift lower as it has just broken the $30 barrier that is rather negative.Some analyst are focusing to go lower towards $20 per barrel.


(trade / invest base on your own decision)

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Noble Group

Noble Group - 15th Jan 2016

Noble has been experiencing a heavy selling down due to low oil price and many other analyst downgrading the stock. The current price of 31 cents is hovering below both 14AMA & 25 SMA lines which is rather bearish.


Both MACD & RSI are pointing to an oversold situation. Short term may expect a rebounce from here.

The recent share purchase by company director of 10m shares of about S$3,344,227.50 on 11th Jan could be an indication that the share price is worthed more than current price.

30.05 cents seems to be the current support level. Short term may see it price rebounce to 38 cents and then 43 cents.
(trade base on your own decision)

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

Exchange Traded Fund

Exchange Traded Fund (ETF)

An Exchange Traded Fund is a type of fund which owns the underlying assets (shares of stock, bonds, commodity,gold,foreign currency, oil, etc.) and divides ownership of those assets into shares. The actual investment vehicle structure (such as a corporation or investment trust) will vary by country, and within one country there can be multiple structures that co-exist.

Shareholders do not directly own or have any direct claim to the underlying investments in the Exchange Traded Fund; rather they indirectly own these assets.

Exchange Traded Fund(ETF)  shareholders earned interest or dividends(2-3% or higher) from the proportion of the profits from the pool of underlying assets. Also shareholders may expect to get a residual value in cash if the fund is liquidated. Exchange Traded Fund can easily be purchased from the Singapore Stock exchange or using CFD account to purchase from US Dow zone Industrial Index. that are quite similar to buying and selling of equities /share that are being traded on public stock exchanges.


The unique feature and advantages of trading Exchange Traded Fund is that investors get the diversification of an index fund as well as the ability to sell( short), buy(long) as little as one share or 1000 share ( depends on the lot size being quoted on different country stock change).
Another advantage is that the expense ratios for most ETFs are lower than those of the average equity stock.

Below are the advantages of the expense ratios for trading ETFs being listed on the Singapore exchange website ( http://sgx.com/wps/portal/sgxweb/home/products/securities/etfs)

1. What ETFs are included in the clearing fee waiver?
All ETFs listed on Singapore Exchange are included.

2. How much are ETF clearing fees and how will the waiver be effected?
The clearing fees of 3.25 basis points (bps) of traded value will be waived at source. Contract statements will be issued with zero clearing fees applied.

3. What is the applicable period for the ETF clearing fee waiver?
The ETF clearing fee waiver is applicable for all trades with contract issue dates between 1 June 2015 to 31 December 2015, both dates inclusive. For most ordinary trades with T+3 settlement (including non-overnight married trades), the contract issue date is the date in which the trade is being done.

4. Are there any exchange fees other than clearing fees for trading ETFs?
Access fees of 0.75 basis point (bps) of traded value for on-screen trades will continue to be charged. Married trades do not incur access fees.

The other benefits are as follows:

Cash equitisation
Typically adopted by institutions, ETFs can be used to convert cash into equities temporarily to minimize cash drag.

Hedging
ETFs can be used to hedge against other investment position. For instance, an investor may long a specific market segment while at the same time shorting an ETF.

Why invest on ETFs listed on the Singapore Exchange (SGX) - quote from SGX website dated 13th Jan 2016

Efficient
Broad diversification can be achieved in one single transaction with minimum investment.  When an investor buys an ETF, he gains cost efficient exposure to a diversified portfolio of securities through single transaction.

As ETFs are passive funds, the annual management fees are generally lower at less than 1% compared to unit trusts or traditional funds that charge at about 1%-2%

Transparency
Investors can readily access real-time information such as ETF prices, fund information and index information on the websites of the Issuers, Index Provider and SGX.  Market prices are published real-time through the trading day.

Flexible
Investors can buy and sell ETFs anytime during trading hours and may employ the traditional trading techniques including stop order, limit order and short sales.


These are some of the ETFs counters being traded on the Singapore stock exchange:

1. Nikko AM STI ETF - 

2. STI ETF 

3. SPDR Gold Shares and many others ...


Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Golden Agri

Golden Agri 12th January 2016

Golden Agri is gaining momentum and head higher to cross over 36 cents with ease and close at 37 cents today . Volume was very high . This is generally very positive.
The current price of 37 cents is staying above both 14SMA & 25SMA lines which may provide further support for the share price to head higher.



Also both MACD & RSI are showing sign of a positive divergence that may provide further indication to drive the share price higher.

Crude oil steadied near $31 per barrel on Tuesday - 12th January 2016, recovering slightly as investors booked profits after it fell to a near 12-year low on concerns about oversupply and fragile demand from China. Many analyst are projecting that oil price may head lower towards $20 per barrel . 

On the other hand, palm oil counter such as Golden Agri is trending against the odd with the share price steadily heading higher as reflected on the chart.
From Technical Analysis point of view, it is on a short term uptrend mode. 

Short term wise it may continue to head higher towards 41.5 cents with extension to 45 cents then 50 cents.

If price dropped below $33 cents then perhaps this short term uptrend mode may not follow-through.


Monday, January 11, 2016

Corporate Bonds

Corporate Bonds - 11th January 2016

The recent stock market volatility may be a good time for investor to consider a perpetual bond that provide good decent yields from a high quality issuers which currently offers  yields of between 3.8% to 5.25 % per annum. Payable half yearly.

1. Genting SP5.125%Perp - Genting Singapore perpetual bond. $1 offer price. Currently trading at $1.02 per share. Minimum lot size is 1000 shares. Payable half yearly every April & October . Yearly yield of 5.25% per annum.

2. CapMallA3.8%b220112 - CapitaLand Mall Trust Management Limited. $1 offer price. Currently trading at $1.015 per share. Minimum lot size is 1000 shares. Payable half yearly every February and August. Yearly yield of 3.8% per annum.

3. AspialTrea 5.25%b200828 - Aspial Treasury Pte Ltd. $1 offer price. Currently trading at $1.013 per share. Minimum lot size 1000 shares. Payable half yearly every February and August. Yearly yield of 5.25% per annum.

4. Hyflux 6% CPS - Hyflux Limited. $100 offer price. Currently trading at $103.30 per share.Minimum lot size is 100 shares. Payable half yearly every April and October.
Yearly yield of 6% per annum.

5.  Oxley MTN 5%b191105 - Oxley MTN Pte Ltd . $1 offer price. Currently trading at $0.990 per share.Minimum lot size is 1000 shares. Payable half yearly every April and October.Yearly yeild of 5% per annum.

With fairly guidance from the Federal Reserve despite the first rate hike in nearly 10 years,interest rates (and bank deposit rates) have not been rising as quickly as investors may have liked. For those looking for a decent level of yield from a high quality issuer, the perpetual bonds issued by the above-mentioned issuers may be an option to lock in for defensive play/fixed income yield.