Saturday, March 30, 2019

How to work out Position Sizing

Position Sizing - it plays an important role of protecting the trader for being over exposed to a particular trade by minimizing the risk .


The percentage (%) of risk can be measure in terms of 1-5 or 6-10 % that you can afford to loss for each trade.

How to work out the maximum quantity for each trade that depends of each an individual risk tolerance level.



For example, person A can only tolerate a loss of 3% for each trade.

Let's say he has $10000 as capital. 3% risk appetite.


The formula is roughly as follow:-

10000 x 3% ( risk per trade - 1-10%)
--------------------------------------------
Entry Price less Cut Loss price

=             300
    --------------------------
    $1.00(EP) - $0.95(SL)

      300
 =  -------    =  6000 share.
      0.05

Person A capital for his /her trade is 6000 x $1.00 = $6000



For example , person B risk appetite is 5%.

let's say he or she has $12000 as capital , 5% risk exposure.


The formula is roughly as follows:-

12000 x 5% (% risk per trade)
-------------------------------------
$1.10(EP) less $1.01(SL)

      600
=  ---------
      0.09

= 6600 share.


Person B, he/she capital for this trade would be 6600 x $1.10 = $7260



The above example is meant for educational illustration and is not an advice or recommendation for any particular stock trading.

Pls dyodd.




Friday, March 29, 2019

Sarine Tech

After touching the low of 35.5 cents, it had managed to stage a strong rebound and take it higher to hit 49.5 cents ! Coupled with high volume this is rather bullish!


It is now taking a break and may likely resume this Uptrend mode to re-attempt 49.5 cents again.

MACD is rising which may likely provide further indication of rising further?


Short term wise, I think a breakout of 49.5 with good volume that mat drive the share Higher to 54 then 59 with extension to 64 cents .
NAV of about 26 cents .
PE 15.5x.
Dividend yield of 5.7%.



Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.


Thursday, March 28, 2019

First reit

This healthcare reit counter has been punished with a fall of the price from 1.28 to a low of 94 cents .
NAV of 1.023.
DPU quarterly of 2.15 cents, yearly 8.6 cents , Yield 8.7%.
Their NPI seems healthy and Dpu is being paid out below its NPI level .
It seems to me that the market has over-reacted!


The current agreement with LK , I think is valid till 2021. Unless there is news about the revision of this contract agreement, I think Dpu may not be affected for now till 2021.

Is always good to be cautious!

I think hospital demand will only be increasing year after years.


As an investor you have to do our own analysis.

TA wise, looks like is on a consolation mode .
Boringer band is getting tighter .
CCI is about to rise up.

A breakout of 1.01 with ease plus good volume that may drive the price higher towards 1.04 then 1.09 with extensions to 1.05 level .

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls Dyodd.

Tuesday, March 26, 2019

Frasers Comm trust

Wah! Value is appealing again! Trading at 1.42, yield is 6.76%. NAV 1.574. P/B 0.9. DPU of 9.6 cents . Seems oversold and is looking attractive again!

 This is being managed by a good sponsor, Frasers Property. Gearing is below 30%.

 I am happy to accumulate a bit and collect DPU while waiting for price to rise back to its fair value.

 Not a call to buy or sell. Pls Dyodd.

Daily Farm

After touching the low of $7.02, it had made a very impressive recovery mode and rises higher to hit $8.26 level, looks rather bullish!



Short term wise, looks like we are going to see it rises further to retest $8.65 then $9.00 and above .


NAV $1.07.
PE 121x..

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.




Monday, March 25, 2019

SSB bond

April SSB offering 1.96% for the first 3 years seems not bad!
Tomorrow is the closing date for applying before 9pm.



I just logged in to apply via SRS .
Seems quite easy .
Just park there to collect some interest.


I think is a good way to enjoy slightly higher interest.


March 2019 offer rate is 1st year 1.95%, 2nd year 1.95%, 3rd year 1.97%, 4th year 2.05%, 7th year 2.3%, 9th year 2.48% and 10th year 2.55%.

Bond Id GX19030Z

Closing date is 25th Feb 2019 9pm.
Interest payments half year from Sept 2019 and Mar 2020.
10 year average interest is 2.18%.

I think is quite good as interest rate is still much higher than bank interest of 0.5%.

December offer rates is out!
Fantastic! 1st year 1.89%, 10 years 3.04% .

Don't miss out!

Closing date on 27th Nov 9pm.

Pls dyodd.

Singapore Saving Bond click here to view. 

Nov rate is out!
Looks attractive!
First year 1.8%, average for 10 years 2.48%.

Closing date of application : 26 Oct 2018.
It is now available for applying .

Applicant may apply via Internet banking from the 3 local banks such as DBS,Uob & OCBC .



Closing date of application is on 25th September 9pm.

 First year interest is 1.74% & 10 year interest is about 2.42%. You may refer to the table below ;











 Each Savings Bond has a term of 10 years and pays interest every 6 months. Savings Bonds cannot be traded like conventional bonds or shares. Interest income is exempt from tax. Only individuals above 18 years old can apply.

 Savings Bonds are fully backed by the Singapore Government. And because the bonds can always be redeemed for the full amount invested, investors are protected against capital losses when interest rates change.

 This makes them one of the safest possible investments for individuals to hold.









 Save up to 10 years, and earn interest that “steps up” or increases over time. Hold your Savings Bond for the full 10 years and receive an average interest per year that matches the return from 10-year Singapore Government Securities yields, which has generally been between 2%-3%. Flexible : Or, choose to exit your investment in any given month, with no penalties.

There is no need to decide on a specific investment period at the start.









Before you Apply: You will need: A bank account with DBS/POSB, OCBC or UOB. Visit any of the three local banks’ branches in Singapore to open a bank account.

 An individual CDP Securities account linked to any of your bank accounts through direct crediting service (DCS). CDP is the custodian for Savings Bonds and will process applications, interest payments and redemptions. Visit CDP's webpage for information on opening your CDP Securities account.

 $2 transaction fee A non-refundable transaction fee will be charged by the bank for each application request.










After you have Apply: MAS will allot the new Savings Bond among applicants on the 3rd last business day of the month (called the "Allotment Day")You will receive the first interest payment 6 months after the bond is issued. Interest will be automatically paid into the bank account that is linked to your CDP account.

 The application results will be available on the Announcements page after 3.00pm on Allotment Day. Should the total amount of applications exceed the amount on offer in a particular month, you may not get the full amount you applied for (why not?). The excess cash will be refunded to you by the end of the 2nd last business day of the month.

Savings Bonds will be issued on the 1st business day of the following month. You will be notified by CDP via mail of the amount of Savings Bonds allotted to you. You can also check your holdings online through the CDP Internet service or by calling CDP at 6535-7511.









 Received your interest : You will receive the first interest payment 6 months after the bond is issued. Interest will be automatically paid into the bank account that is linked to your CDP account. Interest will be paid every six months after that, on the 1st business day of the month. The interest payments will be reflected in your CDP statements. When your bond matures Each Savings Bond has a term of ten years. At the end of ten years, your principal and the last interest payment will be automatically credited to your DCS bank account.

You do not need to take any action, and the $2 transaction fee is not applicable in this instance. Redeeming early You can redeem your Savings Bonds in any given month before the bond matures, with no penalty for exiting your investment early. To redeem your bond: Submit your redemption requests through the DBS/POSB, OCBC or UOB ATMs, or Internet Banking portals. Redeem in multiples of $500 up to the amount you have invested for each bond. You can redeem more than one bond per month. A $2 transaction fee will apply for each redemption request. Please note that you will not be able to amend or cancel submitted redemption requests.

The redemption period opens at 6pm on the 1st business day of each month and closes at 9pm on the 4th last business day of the month. Redemption proceeds will be paid by the end of the 2nd business day of the following month. Will I receive any interest?  Savings Bonds pay interest every 6 months.

If you redeem your bond when there is a scheduled interest payment, you will receive the scheduled interest together with your redemption amount. If you redeem before the scheduled interest is paid, you will receive a pro-rated amount, called the accrued interest, which is the interest you have earned but have not been paid.