UMS

TA wise , looks super Bearish!
Another Gap down this morning, it is trading at 62 cents !
I think market is not in favor of the latest dividend being cut from 1 cents to 0.5 cents .

Please mind the Gap as it may continue to trend lower!

Shirt term wise, I think likely to test 60 then 55 cents with extension to 52 cents.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.



UMS Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides high precision front-end semiconductor components, and electromechanical assembly and final testing services. It operates through two segments, Semiconductor and Others. The Semiconductor segment offers precision machining components and equipment modules for semiconductor equipment manufacturers. The Others segment provides water disinfection systems shipment services; and supplies base components to oil and gas original equipment manufacturers. The company also offers precision machining services, including milling, lathe, horizontal, cleaning, anodizing, and CMM; metal finishing services, such as electroless and selective nickel, anodizing, plating, e-polish, chemical cleaning, and parts refurbishment; and system integration, refurbishment, prototyping, and vendor managed inventory services, as well as electroplating services. In addition, it is involved in the assembly and integration of equipment and automated assembly lines; manufacture and assembly of stainless steel gaslines and weldment products; manufacture and repair of waste water treatment equipment; and holding of investment properties. The company serves semiconductor, electronic, machine tools, aerospace, and oil and gas industries. It operates in Singapore, Malaysia, the United States, Poland, Taiwan, South Korea, and the People’s Republic of China. UMS Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Singapore.

UOL

TA wise, looks super bearish!

We can notice from the chart patterns there were 2 Gap Down happening and the price cannot fight against the Bear and continue to trend even lower.

 Whenever a Gap down is happening it tells us something is happening. The Gap down could be due to the properly cooling measures. Price has since gone even lower after experiencing this Gap down. 

Short term wise, I think it may likely go lower to retest $5.98 price level. Breaking down of $5.98 with high volume that may drive the price even lower to slide down towards 5.60 with extension to $5.20.

 Not a call to buy or sell.

 Pls dyodd.

 NAV $11.33

Dividend of 17.5 cents.

Yield is about 2.84%.

P/B 0.54


I think the only consolation is the P/B is trading at 0.54.

I think Yield is not attractive which is below 3%.


UOL Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, primarily engages in property development and management, property investments, and hotel businesses. Its property development projects include residential units, office towers and shopping malls, and hotels and serviced suites. The company also owns and/or manages approximately 30 hotels under the Pan Pacific and PARKROYAL names in Asia, Oceania, and North America with approximately 10,000 rooms in its portfolio. In addition, it is involved in the rental of serviced suites, commercial offices, and retail malls; treasury services business; management of serviced suites; operation of restaurants; and management and operation of health and beauty retreats and facilities. Further, the company engages in the retail of computer hardware and software; property trading business; management and licensing of trademarks; retail management consultancy services business; and provision of information technology related products and services. UOL Group Limited has operations in Singapore, Australia, Vietnam, Malaysia, the People’s Republic of China, Myanmar, and the United Kingdom. The company was formerly known as United Overseas Land Limited and changed its name to UOL Group Limited in 2006. UOL Group Limited was founded in 1963 and is based in Singapore.

SingPost

TA wise, looks super Bearish!
It is an obvious long term Downtrend chart patterns.

If 95 cents is not able to hold up well then next support would be at 92 .

I think strong support is at 92 cents. This may present an opportunity. Breaking down of 92, next could be heading down to 85 cents then 80 cents. 

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.



NAV of 61 cents.
P/b of 1.57
Trailing EPS of 5.2 cents.
PE of 18.5x.
Dividend of 3.5 cents.
Yield of 3.6%

I think decent yield of 3+%. But not as good as compare to SingTel that is yielding 5.7% at $3.05.



Singapore Post Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides postal, ecommerce logistics, and retail services in Singapore, the United States, can, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Postal, Logistics, eCommerce, and Property. The Postal segment offers services for collecting, sorting, transporting, and distributing domestic and international mail, as well as sells philatelic products. Its international mail service includes handling of incoming and outgoing international mail. This segment also provides ePost hybrid mail services, which integrate electronic data communication with traditional mail; and agency services and financial services. The Logistics segment offers a range of logistics solutions, including freight, warehousing, domestic and international distribution, and delivery services. Its services include ecommerce logistics, warehousing, fulfilment and distribution, and other value-added services; and parcel delivery, freight forwarding, and self-storage solutions and management services. The eCommerce segment provides front-end ecommerce solutions. The Property segment provides commercial property rental services. The company is also involved in the online sale of luxury products; provision of management and consultancy services to related entities, as well as business mail solutions and distribution of mail, and global sale and marketing services. In addition, it provides electronic platform and recyclable lockers for merchandise distribution, as well as customs brokerage and freight forwarding services; and acts as a trading company and purchases organization for ocean freight services. Further, the company is involved in the courier activities other than national post activities; and provision of freight collections transshipments, logistics management, and aviation services. Singapore Post Limited was founded in 1819 and is headquartered in Singapore.

STI ETF

Today Gap down doesn't look good ! Likely to continue to trend lower!

Is good to be cautious!

20th Oct 2018
I think is almost good time to revisit this STI ETF as can be seen from the chart, RSI is gently rising . Market may still has some room to go lower and the bottom line could be somewhere near 2830 level.

PE is about 10.69x which is still undervalue as the historical average PE is about 15x.
Dividend yield of about 3.63%.

When is the Best time to lock in profit is when the RSI is over 70 and the PE is more than 20.

Not a call to buy or sell.
Pls dyodd.

I think good investing does not require too many fanciful ideas and strategies. Just one simple no-brainer strategy that can work effectively through time and allow us to sit back and relax to enjoyr the reward of the investment that is working effortlessly to achieve our investment goal of getting 8-10% gain( passive income).

This simple strategy is to invest in a low cost ETF( Exchange Traded Fund)  such as the STI ETF (ES3.SI) or NIKKO AM STI ETF(G3B.SI) 

This method of operation is to buy into STI ETF whenever it is in an oversold condition and to sell off and take profits whenever it is in an overbought condition. 

For example, one may use the  indicator such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to determine overbought ( above 70 ) or oversold condition( below 30).

One may plan to buy and selling of units in several batches whenever in oversold or overbought conditions in order to get the best average price.

For example you may plan to buy in at different interval or whenever the Oversold situation happen .

In any one year, there will be three to four such window opportunities of overbought or oversold conditions to operate by buying or selling units of the ETF. At the same time, we can also kept some units always to receive dividend income and for their long term growth in price appreciation.

With discipline and patience , one should be able to get good average returns per year in excess of certain % by this one simple strategy of investing in one single ETF .I think This simple one strategy is safe and allow one to sleep soundly at night without worry of negative news affecting individual stocks in one's portfolio which could crash the share price of the particular stock the next day. This is because even if one or two of the component stocks in STI ETF of blue chips should collapse in share prices, there will be 28 others to diversify away the risk of the entire portfolio collapsing at anytime.

As for younger folks who just started out working and does not have enough cashflows and savings , one may start to spread out the different batch of buying or applying the Dollar-cost-averaging method by investing $1000 at 6-8 different batches that would be able to achieve  lower average costs per unit. 

the example are as follows:-

1. When the index price is $2.00, your $1000 will be able to buy 500 shares.
2. When the index price is $2.50, your $1000 will be able to buy 400 shares
3. When the index price is $2.90, your $1000 will be able to buy 344 shares
4. When the index price is $1.66, your $1000 will be able to buy 625 shares
5. When the index price is $3.00, your $1000 will be able to buy 333 shares
6. When the index price is $3.20, your $1000 will be able to buy 312 shares
7. When the index price is $3.50, your $1000 will be able to buy 285 shares

Total = $7000 / 2799 shares = $ 2.50 average cost per unit.

By using this method, you will be able to make a profit once the stock market rises above this low average price.

RSP :

Just sharing.

Not a call to buy or sell.






Please do your own due diligence.

SingTel

This is perhaps one of the solid blue chips for Telco that you may want to take note of!

Yearly dividend of 17.5 cents .
Yield of 5.65% base on current price of $3.10.


Chart wise, looks bearish!
Immediate support is at $3.08. Next support is at $3.05 then $3.02.
The major support is at $3.00 region.

At $3.02, the yield would be 5.8% looks very attractive to me and is almost on par with most of the Reits counter that is yielding a yield of 5-7%.

I would be looking at the golden opportunity to accumulate if price further weaken to $3.05 and below.


Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence!


The management has made announcement in FY2017 that they would continue to payout 17.5 cents of dividend for 2 financial years.

The dividend of 17.5 cents for next 2 financial years is here.

Let us take a look at their past years financial numbers as per below tables:

Average Underlying Net Profit is about $3.7b.

Assuming future underlying Net profit may go lower, may be about $3.4-$3.5b.
0.75 X $3.45b = 2.5875 / 16.322(no of share) = 15.85 cents.

No of shares = 16.322 b 
Payout ratio 75% 

If Payout ration 60% , then dividend per share is about 12.7 cents.

Their free cash flow of about $3.6b I think has no problem to continue in paying out the dividend.

OCBC

OCBC is one of the nicer short term bullish chart patterns as compare to the other 2 bank counter.

I think it may still attempt to re-conquer $11.56 and head higher to retest $12.00 and above.


My Trading plan is as follows:-

1. EP $11.57
2. SL $11.32
3. TP $$12.15 - $$12.29


Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.

8th Nov 2018
Ocbc Bank counter has managed to Gap up again and follow through with yet another 4th white soldier as reflected on the chart ,this is rather bullish!

Today - 8 Nov it has managed to close well at $11.53 , looks positive and it may likely move up to test $11.90 then $12.00.


Please dyodd.

Trade/invest base on your own decision.


3rd quarter 2018 net profit grew 12% to $1.25b. Return of equity higher at 12.6%.

9M18 Group Performance, Net profit increased 18% YOY to $3.57b.

A beautiful set of result!
Not sure how will market reacts to the latest result.


One word! Nice and beautiful follow-through moment as reflected on the chart today with a second white soldiers.

Yesterday, we have witnessed the Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern that is more or less signalling the end of the downtrend reversal indication.

Today market has provided us with the answer and close well at $10.74 , Up 26 cents with convincingly High volume. This is rather bullish!

Short term wise, I think it may likely continue to head higher to re-visit $11.00 then $11.23 level.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.

Do you happen to notice the same patterns has been repeating itself.
Is good to be extra cautious!

Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited provides financial services in Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Greater China, other parts of the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company's Global Consumer/Private Banking segment provides a range of products and services to individuals, including checking accounts, and savings and fixed deposits; housing and other personal loans; credit cards; wealth management products consisting of unit trusts, bancassurance products, and structured deposits; and brokerage services. This segment also offers investment advice and portfolio management, estate and trust planning, and wealth structuring services for high net worth individuals. Its Global Corporate/Investment Banking segment provides project financing, overdrafts, trade financing, and deposit accounts; fee-based services, such as cash management and custodian services; and investment banking services, including financing solutions, syndicated loans and advisory services, corporate finance services for initial public offerings, secondary fund-raising, and takeovers and mergers, as well as customized and structured equity-linked financing services. It serves corporates, public sector, and small and medium enterprises. The company's Global Treasury and Markets segment is involved in the foreign exchange activities, money market operations, and fixed income and derivatives trading, as well as provision of structured treasury products and financial solutions. Its OCBC Wing Hang segment offers commercial banking, consumer financing, share brokerage, and insurance services. The company’s Insurance segment provides fund management services, and life and general insurance products. Its Others segment is involved in property and investment holding activities. As of May 7, 2018, the company operated a network of 590 branches and representative offices in 18 countries and regions. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Singapore.

ComfortDelgro

Yesterday it has a slight rebound after the drastic sold down. Still looks rather bearish!

Would it be able to hold up $2.18 level ! Failing which ,we may see it slide further down ..

9th Nov
From TA point of view, it is rather Bearish!

It has broken down the lower Trend line at about $2.22 and close lower at $2.18, this is super bearish!

Short term wise , I think it may likely go down to retest $2.07 then 2.00 with extension to $1.95.


Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.



 ComfortDelGro Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a land transportation company. It offers public bus and charter bus services; rail services; motor vehicle evaluation and other related services; public taxi services through the rental of taxis to hirers; car rental, and car care and leasing services; outdoor advertising services; and taxi booking services. The company also provides vehicle inspection and other related services; non-vehicle testing, inspection, and consultancy services; coach services; private hire services; crash repair services; bus station services; professional and building inspection, and engineering services; charge card facilities; and charter, coach, and terminal services. In addition, it operates driving schools; and workshops for repairing, servicing, and general maintenance of motor vehicles, as well as acts as a dealer in diesel for motor vehicles. Further, the company rents buses to hirers and provides related services; and constructs specialized vehicles and assembles bus bodies. As of May 11, 2018, it operated a fleet of 41,500 buses, taxis, and rental vehicles. The company has operations in Singapore, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Australia, China, Vietnam, and Malaysia. ComfortDelGro Corporation Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Singapore