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Monday, May 28, 2018

THaiBev

Today drop one cents lowered and closed at 76 cents ,looks rather bearish ! It has broken down the support at 78 cents couple with high volume ,this is rather negative and may likely see further selling down pressure.

The immediate support is at 72 cents , failing to hold at this level, next, we may see it goes further down towards 69 cents .

 Not a call to buy or sell.

 Please do your own due diligence.

ThaiBev - 2Q 2018 result Net Profit decrease 3.2% to 6,346 million Baht( exclude non-recurring expenses relating to business acquisition).

EPS is down 3.8% to 0.25 Baht .






1st Half 2018 EBITDA is down 11.67% to 17,487 million Baht.

First Half 2018 Net profit is down 27% to 10,451 million Baht.

First Half EPS is down 35.1% to 0.37 Baht versus 0.57 Baht last year.





NAV is also lowered from S$0.22 to S$0.21.

Dividend has been cut from 20 cents Baht to 15 cents Baht.(a decrease of 25% )



Looking through at the Interest Bearing debts:




They have to allocate 16,784 million Baht for Mar 2019 interest loan.

The 2nd year i.e. After one year but within two years (Mar 2020), the debt amount is super high at 163,766 million Baht.

After two years , 53,967 million Baht.

Total 234,517 million Baht.







I think the debts may likely affect the profitability for the next financial years as well as the following years whereby the interest bearing has more than 10x of year 2019.




It is good to be extra cautious when dealing with this counter.

Not a call to Buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.





The recent Acquisitions :

• In the second quarter ended 31 March 2018, the Company completed an acquisition of

• 75% shareholding interest in Havi Logistic Co.,Ltd. (Havi), which operates logistic businesses for food services in Thailand, by Thai Beverage Logistics Co.,Ltd., a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company on 28 February 2018.




• The Company has included the assets and liabilities of Havi in the consolidated statements of financial position and the results of operations and cash flows in the consolidated statement of income and cash flows respectively from March 2018 onwards.

• Havi’s operations were recognized under the food business segment.

• In the first quarter ended 31 December 2017, the Company completed 4 acquisitions of

1. a 76% shareholding interest in Spice of Asia Co.,Ltd. (SOA) on 3 October 2017 to operate 10 stores of restaurants serving hotpot and Thai food




2. a 75% shareholding interest in Myanmar Supply Chain and Marketing Services Co.,Ltd. and Myanmar Distillery Co.,Ltd. (MSC & MDC), which incorporated in the Republic of the Union of Myanmar, on 12 October 2017 to operate spirits business in Myanmar

3. 252 existing KFC stores in Thailand by The QSR of Asia Co.,Ltd. (QSA), a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company on 1 December 2017




4. a 53.59% shareholding interest in Saigon Beer – Alcohol – Beverage Joint Stock Corporation (Sabeco), a company incorporated in The Socialist Republic of Vietnam and currently listed in Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE), on 29 December 2017 to operate mainly in beer business





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