Monday, October 8, 2018

Parkway Life Reit

Is it a good time to look at this healthcare reit counter!!
It has fallen off from $3.00 to $2.65.


At $2.65, yield is about 5.05%.
Given that this is a index counter ,I think people might be willing to get it at a premium price tag.

It would be nice if price can further slide down to $2.40 that would entice me to jeep some.

Short term wise , I think it may likely retest $2.63 level then $2.60 with extension to $2.52.

DPU is about 13.4 cents .
At $2.52 , yield is about 5.31%
I think at this price level we may see some accumulation activities..


ParkwayLife Reit - It owns the largest portfolio of strategically-located private hospitals in Singapore comprising Mount Elizabeth Hospital, Gleneagles Hospital and Parkway East Hospital. 

In addition, it has 45 assets located in Japan, including one pharmaceutical product distributing and manufacturing facility in Chiba Prefecture as well as 44 high quality nursing home and care facility properties in various prefectures of Japan. 

It also owns strata-titled units/lots at Gleneagles Intan Medical Centre Kuala Lumpur in Malaysia.



Looking through their financial nos from 2013 to 2017, we can notice that its Total Revenue is generally rising at a CAGR of 4.3% from 93693m in 2013 to 109,881m in 2017. This is quite consistently increasing for the past 4 years which is quite encouraging/positive.

Total Revenue - is the sum of cash inflows, increase in operating accounts such as receivables and occasionally, unrealized gains generated in the course of Company's Business activities.

Next, we can take a look at the Total Net Income level which has only generated an returns of only 0.81% (CAGR) from 98.279m in 2013 to 101.464m in 2017. The Net Income seems like not growing much. Investor may want to take note of this. 



The DPU has since a marginally increase from 0.107 in 2013 to 0.134 in 2017. An increase of 0.06% CAGR. The average yield for the past 4 years is about 0.122. Giving a yield of 4.38%.
This is generally below the 5to5.5 % yield expectation for investing in Reit counter.

NAV of $1.761, P/B is 1.61 times.

The Gearing % is about 40% which can be roughly calculated base on the Total Liabilites 705,881/ 1771,221 Total Assets . It is still within the guide line being set by MAS.. Generally, we would prefer gearing to be around 30-36%.



Ops cash flows seems quite pretty stable generating a Net cash from Ops is within 76 to 80m.


The current price of $2.69 is trading above it NAV of $1.761 and it is also trading above its fair value of about $2.14( using DDM to work out the fair value ) . I think it is trading at a premium price level and investor may want to take note of this.

Looking through the Historical chart patterns, we can use it as a reference .





Strong support level is around $2.20 level. The next support level would be $1.80.




Not a call to buy or sell.
Please do you own due diligence.

trade/invest base on your own decision. 




 Parkway Life Real Estate Investment Trust (“PLife REIT”) is one of Asia’s largest listed healthcare REITs by asset size. It invests in income-producing real estate and real estate related assets that are used primarily for healthcare and healthcare-related purposes (including but are not limited to, hospitals, healthcare facilities and real estate and/or real estate assets used in connection with healthcare research, education, and the manufacture or storage of drugs, medicine and other healthcare goods and devices). PLife REIT owns a well-diversified portfolio of 50 properties with a total portfolio size of approximately S$1.75 billion as at 31 December 2017.

Sunday, October 7, 2018

Frases Log Trust

Looks like the boat is back .
Trading at $1.03.
TA wise , looks bearish!

Likely to revisit 99 cents /$1.00 soon.
Not a call to buy or sell.
Pls dyodd.


Proposed Acquisition of 21 Properties in Germany and the Netherlands Acquisition of predominantly freehold interests in 21 logistics and industrial properties located in Germany and the Netherlands (the “New Properties”), comprising:

 17 properties in Germany

 4 properties in the Netherlands

 Property purchased price : €596.8 million (approximately S$972.8 million)

 Purchase consideration : €316.2 million (approximately S$515.4 million)




Proposed funding for the acquisition comprises:





 A private placement of new units to institutional and other investors; and / or

 A non-renounceable preferential offering of new units to existing unitholders on a pro rata basis; and/ or

 Balance of transaction cost to be funded by borrowings

Focused on primary industries including logistics services, automotive, food logistics and industrial manufacturing.

 Diversified tenant base including multinational companies with investment grade ratings and publicly listed corporations

20 high quality tenants(2) with no single tenant contributing more than 15% of GRI(1)


Transaction Rationale and Highlights



1. Strategic entry into the attractive German and Dutch logistics and industrial markets.Strategic Entry into the Attractive German and Dutch Logistics and Industrial Markets. Key global logistics hub – Germany and the Netherlands ranked #1 and #4 logistics hubs globally(1). Located in heart of Europe with extensive road, motorway and rail  network. Further extension of global reach given critical role in China’s Belt and Road Initiative

2. Prime, strategically located and predominantly freehold portfolio. Stable leases backed by high quality tenants

3. Enlarged and diversified portfolio positioned for long term growth. Reduced concentration risk in the top 10 tenants.

4. Leveraging Sponsor’s integrated development and asset management platform.  FLT is well-positioned for future growth through leveraging on the Sponsor’s widened logistics and industrial platforms in Europe and Australia

5. Consistent with the Manager’s investment strategy. Proposed acquisition is in line with FLT’s key objectives.






Exposure to the attractive German and Dutch logistics markets which serve as the trade gateway to Europe

Comprises prime and predominantly freehold logistics and industrial properties

100% occupied or pre-committed by high quality tenants and long leases

89%(1) leases with CPI-linked indexation or fixed escalations

Reduces concentration risks through geographical diversification and tenant mix

Maintains optimal capital mix and prudent capital management

FLT’S OBJECTIVES Deliver stable and regular distributions to unitholders

Achieve long-term growth in DPU



I think this new acquisition would likely boost their overall portfolio spreading across Australia , Netherlands and Germany that may likely cushion the fall of rental rate for different countries.
Overall this new acquisition would be able to enhance and increase the DPU paying out per unit. Looks positive to me.

Not a call to buy or sell.
Please do you own due diligence.

The 2nd quarter is just released yesterday which saw the overall DPU rises 3.2% to 1.81 cents.








2QFY18 Distributable Income (“DI”) of A$25.9 million, up 3.2% from 2QFY17

 2QFY18 Distribution Per Unit (“DPU”) of 1.81 Singapore cents, up 3.4% from 2QFY17

 Declared distributions of 3.61 Singapore cents for 1HFY18, up 3.4% from 1HFY17

 Three leases renewed/signed  As at 31 March 2018: WALE of 6.75 years and high occupancy of 99.4% maintained

 Reduced near-term expiries in FY2018 and FY2019 by 2.5% and 4.6% respectively

 Gearing of 30.5% with debt headroom of A$531 million as at 31 March 2018  85% of borrowings at fixed interest rates





Saturday, October 6, 2018

REX Intl

The impressive moment was on 28th Aug whereby it Gap up from 4 cents to 4.6 cents and closed well at 6.3 cents + coupled with high volume, this is rather bullish!

After this strong run away Gap up, it had continued to rally further and went up to hit the high of 11.9 cents on 5th Oct 2018, this is superb achievement!

At the moment, it is being driven into overbought territories.
Immediate Resistance is at 12.3 cents and next Resistance is at 12.8 cents.


Breaking out of 12.8 cents with good volume, it may propel to drive the price higher towards 15 cents and above.

This is purely base on Technical Analysis.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.

Trade/invest base on your own decision.


Rex International Holding Limited operates as an independent exploration and production company worldwide. Its Oil and Gas segment is involved in oil and gas exploration and production with concessions located in Oman, Norway, the United States, and Trinidad and Tobago. The company’s Non-Oil and Gas segment offers Rex Virtual Drilling technology, which is based on a set of computer algorithms that analyses seismic data to identify the presence of liquid hydrocarbons; Rex Gravity, an exploration technology that finds areas with suitable geological conditions for hydrocarbon accumulations; Rex Seepage, a tool that provides information about oil seepages offshore from beneath the rock strata; and Rexonic, an ultrasound technology for commercial oil well stimulation. Rex International Holding Limited was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Friday, October 5, 2018

CapitaMall Trust

NAV $2.015. DPU of 11.2 cents. Yield of 5.28%. Current share price of $2.12.

Trading at a premium level. I think it is still quite expensive at the current price level of $2.12.


 I would only be interested to look at this counter when it is at least min yielding 5.5% or $2.03 and below.

 Looking at the chart patterns,it is rather bearish and may likely continue to head lower.
 Short term wise, I think likely to go down to test the lower Trend line support line at about 2.07/2.08.


 There is a likelihood it may breakdown 2.07 and hopefully a rebound to take it above this support turn resistance level.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Pls dyodd.




 CMT is the first real estate investment trust (REIT) listed on Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (SGX-ST) in July 2002. CMT is also the largest retail REIT by market capitalisation, S$7.3 billion (as at 30 June 2018) in Singapore. CMT has been affirmed an ‘A2’ issuer rating by Moody's Investors Service on 16 July 2015. The ‘A2’ issuer rating is the highest rating assigned to a Singapore REIT. CMT owns and invests in quality income-producing assets which are used, or predominantly used, for retail purposes primarily in Singapore. As at 30 June 2018, CMT's portfolio comprised a diverse list of close to 2,800 leases with local and international retailers and achieved a committed occupancy of 98.0%. CMT's 15 quality shopping malls, which are strategically located in the suburban areas and downtown core of Singapore, comprise Tampines Mall, Junction 8, Funan, IMM Building, Plaza Singapura, Bugis Junction, JCube, Raffles City Singapore (40.0% interest), Lot One Shoppers’ Mall, 90 out of 91 strata lots in Bukit Panjang Plaza, The Atrium Orchard, Clarke Quay, Bugis+, Westgate (30.0% interest) and Bedok Mall. CMT also owns 122.7 million units in CapitaLand Retail China Trust, the first China shopping mall REIT listed on SGX-ST in December 2006. CMT is managed by an external manager, CapitaLand Mall Trust Management Limited, which is an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of CapitaLand Limited, one of Asia’s largest real estate companies headquartered and listed in Singapore.

Yoma Strategic

Today while most of the counter is down, Yoma Strategic has managed to shine again with another white soldier and closed well at 31.5 cents, coupled with high volume, this is rather bullish!


We may want to take advantage of this bullish momentum and ride on this short term upwards move direction.

I think likely to retest 34 cents than 36 cents.

Do take note that weekly chart is still on a long term down trend direction. It is quite risky to play counter trend reversal mode. Is ultra important to have a proper plan in place .

52 week High is 60.5 cents. And 52 week Low is 25.5 cents.


Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.


Yoma Strategic Holdings Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the real estate, automotive and heavy equipment, consumer, financial, and investment businesses in Singapore, Myanmar, and the People’s Republic of China. The company’s Real Estate Development segment develops and sells land and properties. Its Real Estate Services segment provides project management, design, and estate management services, as well as property leasing services. The company’s Automotive & Heavy Equipment segment supplies and sells agriculture and construction equipment, as well as offers maintenance services. Its Consumer segment engages in the operation of restaurants; bottling and distribution of beverages; food wholesale business; and provision of logistics services. The company’s Financial Services segment provides vehicle financing; and invests in mobile financial services. Its Investments segment invests in the infrastructure, tourism, agricultural, and other sectors, as well as leases investment properties. The company also engages in leasing automotive equipment. The company was formerly known as Sea View Hotel Limited. Yoma Strategic Holdings Ltd. was incorporated in 1962 and is headquartered in Singapore.


Thursday, October 4, 2018

One Lot Marker & Collection method

One lot marker of 100 share = signal BB is giving signal to play this counter.
As can be seen from below Time Buy & Sell transaction. Thomson Medical surge from 7.7 cents to 8.4 cents.
Top 30 volume.

Next is Hu Ann. Similar 100 share marker hahas been spotted.
Thaibev also quite similar 100 share marker.
Genting seems like a Collection point.

cOLLECTION POINT. ENTER..wait for price to go back to collection point then buy.


Scan for the smart move counter.
Top 30 volume.
1st time appear on the list - Do nothing.
2nd time appear on the list - Do nothing.
Buy after 2nd time appeared. This counter hardly appear on the Top 30 volume.
Sell the 3rd time it appear.

Be careful not to act on impulse and sign up the course on the spot .

Ian12nd Gear | 18 October 2015, 12:38 AM

Brief Background: I am an Institutional Money Manager and Manage several Portfolios with varying Mandates (Long Only, Long Short, Event Driven). I attended the above talk that is a prelude to a two day course conducted by Ronald K.

Here are my personal thoughts:

1. In the professional world, his supposed track record of trading (by showing trading contracts or screen shots from trading accounts) is non-admissible and should be completely ignored in your decision on whether to sign up for his course.

2. If he applied for a job with any trading house using the same credentials, we would completely ignore and throw it out.

3. For any trading track record to be admissible and taken seriously, it needs to be audited by one of the Big Four ( Deloitte, KPMG, PWC, Ernst and Young) for authenticity.

4. In the real world, anyone or any system, that is able to yield incremental values of 60% and above success in trading; asset management houses, money managers, global hedge funds will pay ten's of millions of dollars for even 1% incremental success above the 60% for any system or professional / prop trader.

5. In my professional career, I have seen many trading systems such as Algorithmic Models, Quant Models, High Frequency Trading Systems that institutions invest millions of dollars on just to get a slight 1% - 2% edge over other institutions.

6. One major fundamental flaw about his claims about hidden buying and hidden selling by Big Boys, are the example of stocks he uses. All his examples involve penny or speculative stocks. Big Boys (if my understanding is correct refers to Institutions and Corporate Investors), DO NOT get involve in stocks with market capitalisation of below several billions $$$ in free float. Penny Stocks market capitalisation are usually between $10m to $50m.

7. The only people who play Penny stocks are Remisiers trading on their own accounts, Retail Investors (Speculators) and Consortiums or Syndicates. Unless you are part of the syndicate, pennies should be avoided at all course. Volume in penny stocks are usually churned by a consortium of 5 - 6 traders buying and selling amongst themselves. Its like a gambling den in geylang running scams. The entire table are made up of their own people. The moment a stranger joins in, he is fresh meat. Thus, in penny stocks, once there are enough outsiders lured into the counter, the syndicate dumps everything to you and liquidity with diminish instantly (from millions of shares traded daily to less than 10 lots or nothing a day), There is no real hidden buying or hidden selling in Pennies, its just manipulation by syndicates.

8. I am sure Ronald K makes money on his speculative trades probably 55%- 60% of the time, however, I seriously doubt his claims of 90% to 99% success rate.

9. His methods to trading, commonly known as HFT (High Frequency Trading) are no match for black box / robo trade / algo systems that enters and withdraws trades at lightning speed of milliseconds to nanoseconds.

The biggest take away from the course would probably be membership into Ronald K's syndicate that could possibly move the markets, which is extremely easy in penny counters.

My suspicions are his main source of income are from the training courses he conducts rather than from his personal trading.

His fees of $3k to $5k for training isn't expensive for professional intensive courses. However, unless it can be proven that his students or delegates can attest to their success after undergoing his training, the value of the course is iffy at best.

Keppel Corp



I think Keppel Corp may likely benefit with oil price heading higher and the potential of winning more new rigs orders..

Chart wise, it is rather bullish and may likely move up to retest the recent high of $7.30.
Breaking out with good volume, that may propel to drive the price higher towards $7.40 with extension to $7.60.

The same setup patterns is being mentioned on the PDF Stock Trading Manual.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please dyodd.


2Q2018 result:
looks like a good set of financial result.
EPS of 32.2 cents for 1H 2018 an increased of 38% , looks rather impressive.

Estimated whole year EPS of 64.4 cents. Current price of $6.73 would be having a PE of 10.45x. Looks quite attractive.

Interim dividend increased of 2 cents to 10 cents + a Special dividend of 5 cents. Total 15 cents.
Shareholders would be more than happy to see dividend increasing.

Short term wise, we may see a boost in share price given a good set of financial nos.

Not a call to buy or sell.

Please do your own due diligence.




Net profit was S$583m  EVA was S$275m

 Annualised ROE was 9.9%

 Free cash inflow of S$886m in 1H 2018, vs inflow of S$204m in 1H 2017

 Net gearing was 0.40x at end-Jun 2018 vs 0.46x at end-Dec 2017

 Declared interim dividend of 10.0 cents per share and special dividend per share of 5.0 cents for 1H 2018

1H 2018 net profit S$583m, up 38% yoy



Multiple Earnings Streams 

 Recurring income was S$130m or 22% of net profit for 1H 2018

Marine & Off-shore Net Loss of 40m.
Net loss due to lower work volume and associate contributions, and higher overseas taxes

 Lower overheads contributed to S$14m operating profit in 1H 2018

 1H 2018 new contracts of over S$1.2b including S$680m in 2Q 2018:

 Two new jackup orders from Borr Drilling as part of five-rig deal worth US$745m

 Two dual-fuel dredgers from Van Oord and a dual-fuel tanker from Sinanju

Net order book of S$4.6b as at end-Jun 2018

Property

1H 2018 net profit S$603m, up 214% yoy

Infrastructure 

1H 2018 net profit S$66m, up 16% yoy

Key Highlights  Keppel Infrastructure continues to deliver steady earnings

 Keppel Marina East Desalination Plant (KMEDP) close to 50% completed

 Hong Kong Integrated Waste Management Facility (HKIWMF) in design and engineering phase

 Recurring revenue of ~S$70m from Infrastructure Services in 1H 2018

 KMEDP and HKIWMF to boost recurring revenue when operational

Investments

1H 2018 net loss $46m.